WON Tip WON Rakow 3-0 Arka Gdynia
R

Rakow

Home
W L W L W
6W 2D 2L → Steady
VS
3-0
A
Arka Gdynia
Away
L D D L L
2W 4D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 23rd May 2026
1
Backing Rakow to win
Rakow 50%
Draw 30%
Arka Gdynia 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Rakow to win
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Rakow vs Arka Gdynia Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa Date: Saturday, 23rd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Rakow to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Rakow
0
Draws
1
Arka Gdynia
6
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Rakow won 5 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Rakow
Metric
Arka Gdynia
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.7
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
R0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
R2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
R3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
R4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
R5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(7.4%) 2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip R=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Rakow Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Arka Gdynia Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Rakow
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
5.3
Arka Gdynia
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 16%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 33%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.11.25EKS
Arka Gdynia1
Rakow4
01.03.22CUP
Arka Gdynia0
Rakow2
02.05.21CUP
Rakow2
Arka Gdynia1
26.06.20EKS
Rakow3
Arka Gdynia2
22.02.20EKS
Arka Gdynia3
Rakow2
14.09.19EKS
Rakow2
Arka Gdynia0
Recent Form
Rakow
17.05.26EKS
Piast Gliwice1
Rakow3
W
13.05.26EKS
Rakow0
Jagiellonia2
L
08.05.26EKS
Rakow2
Korona Kielce0
W
02.05.26CUP
Gornik Zabrze2
Rakow0
L
25.04.26EKS
Lechia Gdansk1
Rakow2
W
19.04.26EKS
Rakow4
Cracovia1
W
12.04.26EKS
Motor Lublin1
Rakow1
D
09.04.26CUP
Rakow5
(3-3) GKS Katowice4
W
04.04.26EKS
Rakow1
Widzew Lodz1
D
29.03.26CF
Rakow5
S. Rzeszow1
W
Arka Gdynia
18.05.26EKS
Arka Gdynia2
Termalica B-B.3
L
13.05.26EKS
Arka Gdynia0
Gornik Zabrze0
D
08.05.26EKS
Lech Poznan1
Arka Gdynia1
D
27.04.26EKS
Piast Gliwice4
Arka Gdynia1
L
19.04.26EKS
Arka Gdynia0
Jagiellonia3
L
12.04.26EKS
Cracovia2
Arka Gdynia2
D
07.04.26EKS
Arka Gdynia3
Zaglebie1
W
22.03.26EKS
Korona Kielce3
Arka Gdynia0
L
15.03.26EKS
Arka Gdynia0
Widzew Lodz0
D
09.03.26EKS
Wisla Plock0
Arka Gdynia3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Rakow host Arka Gdynia in Poland Ekstraklasa. We recommend Rakow to win as the standout selection.

Rakow arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Arka Gdynia are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Rakow, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Arka Gdynia's 1, with 0 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: rakow to win at odds of 1.31 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Poland Ekstraklasa fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.31 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Rakow vs Arka Gdynia?
Our selection is 1 — Rakow to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Rakow's current form?
Rakow have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arka Gdynia been performing recently?
Arka Gdynia have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Rakow lead with 5 wins versus Arka Gdynia's 1, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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