WON Tip WON Sao Paulo 1-0 Juventude
S

Sao Paulo

Home
L W L W W
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
J
Juventude
Away
W D W L L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 21st April 2026
1
Backing Sao Paulo to win
Sao Paulo 50%
Draw 30%
Juventude 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Sao Paulo to win
1.42
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sao Paulo vs Juventude Competition: Copa Do Brasil Date: Tuesday, 21st April 2026 Pick: 1 (Sao Paulo to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 50% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (75%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Sao Paulo
4
Draws
1
Juventude
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Sao Paulo won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sao Paulo
Metric
Juventude
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.9
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-1-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
50%
30%
1.9
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
S0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 12.0%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 9.1%
2-1 7.2%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 1.1%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.5%) 2-0(9.1%) 2-1(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   J=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Sao Paulo Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Juventude Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sao Paulo
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.0
Juventude
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 13%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 12%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.11.25
 (Série A) São Paulo2
Juventude1
24.07.25
 (Série A) Juventude0
São Paulo1
05.12.24
 (Série A) São Paulo1
Juventude2
21.07.24
 (Série A) Juventude0
São Paulo0
23.10.22
 (Série A) Juventude1
São Paulo2
26.06.22
 (Série A) São Paulo0
Juventude0
12.05.22
 (Copa do Brasil) São Paulo2
Juventude0
20.04.22
 (Copa do Brasil) Juventude2
São Paulo2
06.12.21
 (Série A) São Paulo3
Juventude1
29.08.21
 (Série A) Juventude1
São Paulo1
Recent Form
Sao Paulo
18.04.26
 (Série A) Vasco2
São Paulo - L1
14.04.26
 (Copa Sul-Americana) São Paulo2
O’Higgins - W0
11.04.26
 (Série A) Vitória2
São Paulo - L0
08.04.26
 (Copa Sul-Americana) Boston River0
São Paulo - W1
04.04.26
 (Série A) São Paulo4
Cruzeiro - W1
01.04.26
 (Série A) Internacional1
São Paulo - D1
22.03.26
 (Série A) São Paulo0
Palmeiras - L1
19.03.26
 (Série A) Atlético-MG1
São Paulo - L0
16.03.26
 (Série A) Bragantino1
São Paulo - W2
13.03.26
 (Série A) São Paulo2
Chapecoense-SC - W0
Juventude
19.04.26
 (Série B) CRB0
Juventude - W1
16.04.26
 (Campeonato Gaúcho) Juventude0
Chapecoense-SC - D0
11.04.26
 (Série B) Juventude2
Goiás - W0
08.04.26
 (Campeonato Gaúcho) SER Caxias1
Juventude - L0
04.04.26
 (Série B) Fortaleza2
Juventude - L1
31.03.26
 (Série B) Juventude0
Novorizontino - D0
29.03.26
 (Campeonato Gaúcho) Juventude0
Novorizontino - L2
25.03.26
 (Campeonato Gaúcho) Sampaio Corrêa FE2
Juventude - L0
22.03.26
 (Série B) Avaí2
Juventude - L0
19.03.26
 (Copa do Brasil) Juventude3
Águia de Marabá - W0
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Copa Do Brasil fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.42 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Our selection is 1 — Sao Paulo to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Sao Paulo's current form?
Sao Paulo have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Juventude been performing recently?
Juventude have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sao Paulo lead with 5 wins versus Juventude's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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