Moderate Signal 52% Confidence
S

Shaanxi Union

Home
W W D L W
5W 2D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
—
12:00 pm
—
Weinan Sports Center Stadium (Weinan)
F
Foshan Nanshi
Away
W D L D L
1W 3D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 11th October 2026
1
Backing Shaanxi Union to win
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Shaanxi Union to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shaanxi Union vs Foshan Nanshi Competition: China League One Date: Sunday, 11th October 2026 KO: 12:00 pm Pick: 1 (Shaanxi Union to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 52% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
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Head to Head
Record
2
Shaanxi Union
0
Draws
1
Foshan Nanshi
3
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Shaanxi Union won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Shaanxi Union
Metric
Foshan Nanshi
2
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
50%
10%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
S0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 8.2%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 8.2%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 1-0(8.2%) 2-0(8.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Shaanxi Union
Overall
5.6 ▼
Scoring
6.7 ▼
Defence
5.0 ▼
Foshan Nanshi
Overall
1.9 ▼
Scoring
3.0 ▼
Defence
3.3 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 41%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 20%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.06.26L1
Foshan Nanshi0
Shaanxi Union5
26.07.25L1
Shaanxi Union3
Foshan Nanshi1
06.04.25L1
Foshan Nanshi2
Shaanxi Union1
Recent Form
Shaanxi Union
07.10.26L1
Nanjing City1
Shaanxi Union4
W
27.09.26L1
Shaanxi Union3
Dalian K’un City0
W
19.09.26L1
Shaanxi Union2
Suzhou Dongwu2
D
12.09.26L1
Ningbo Professional1
Shaanxi Union0
L
05.09.26L1
Shaanxi Union2
Dingnan Ganlian1
W
29.08.26L1
Shaanxi Union3
Yanbian Longding1
W
22.08.26L1
Nantong Zhiyun4
Shaanxi Union1
L
14.08.26L1
Shaanxi Union2
Changchun Yatai1
W
08.08.26L1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu2
Shaanxi Union1
L
01.08.26L1
Dalian K’un City2
Shaanxi Union2
D
Foshan Nanshi
07.10.26L1
Foshan Nanshi1
Guangxi Hengchen0
W
19.09.26L1
Dingnan Ganlian1
Foshan Nanshi1
D
12.09.26L1
Suzhou Dongwu3
Foshan Nanshi2
L
05.09.26L1
Foshan Nanshi0
Dalian K’un City0
D
29.08.26L1
Foshan Nanshi1
Shenzhen Juniors2
L
23.08.26L1
Changchun Yatai6
Foshan Nanshi0
L
16.08.26L1
Foshan Nanshi1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu2
L
08.08.26L1
Meizhou Hakka3
Foshan Nanshi2
L
01.08.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Foshan Nanshi1
D
25.07.26L1
Foshan Nanshi0
Wuxi Wugou2
L
Shaanxi Union (Home)
27.09.26L1
Shaanxi Union3
Dalian K’un City0
W
19.09.26L1
Shaanxi Union2
Suzhou Dongwu2
D
05.09.26L1
Shaanxi Union2
Dingnan Ganlian1
W
29.08.26L1
Shaanxi Union3
Yanbian Longding1
W
14.08.26L1
Shaanxi Union2
Changchun Yatai1
W
25.07.26L1
Shaanxi Union3
Shenzhen Juniors0
W
11.07.26L1
Shaanxi Union4
Meizhou Hakka0
W
04.07.26L1
Shaanxi Union2
Wuxi Wugou1
W
19.06.26FAC
Shaanxi Union1
Zhejiang Professional (5-4)1
29.05.26L1
Shaanxi Union0
Nanjing City1
L
Foshan Nanshi (Away)
19.09.26L1
Dingnan Ganlian1
Foshan Nanshi1
D
12.09.26L1
Suzhou Dongwu3
Foshan Nanshi2
L
23.08.26L1
Changchun Yatai6
Foshan Nanshi0
L
08.08.26L1
Meizhou Hakka3
Foshan Nanshi2
L
01.08.26L1
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Foshan Nanshi1
D
13.07.26L1
Ningbo Professional1
Foshan Nanshi0
L
05.07.26L1
Nanjing City3
Foshan Nanshi1
L
30.05.26L1
Guangxi Hengchen3
Foshan Nanshi3
D
15.05.26FAC
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
L
02.05.26L1
Dalian K’un City2
Foshan Nanshi2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this China League One match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Weinan Sports Center Stadium (Weinan). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.21, which our model rates near 47%. The fixture starts at 12:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shaanxi Union vs Foshan Nanshi?
Our selection is 1 — Shaanxi Union to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Shaanxi Union's current form?
Shaanxi Union have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Foshan Nanshi been performing recently?
Foshan Nanshi have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shaanxi Union lead with 2 wins versus Foshan Nanshi's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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