Strong Signal 79% Confidence
S

SK Kladno

Home
D D L W W
4W 4D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
3:00 pm
Stadion Frantiska Kloze (Kladno)
O
Ostrava
Away
D L L L W
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 23rd September 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 88.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -9.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
SK Kladno vs Ostrava Competition: Czech MOL Cup Date: Wednesday, 23rd September 2026 KO: 3:00 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 79% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
SK Kladno
1
Draws
6
Ostrava
8
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
38%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 75% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
SK Kladno
Metric
Ostrava
2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.7
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-4-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
40%
40%
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
S0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
S1
1-0 6.2%
1-1 9.6%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
S2
2-0 5.7%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 6.9%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
S3
3-0 3.5%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.6%) 2-1(8.9%) 1-2(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   O=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
SK Kladno
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
5.0
Ostrava
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 25%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.05.101L
SK Kladno0
Ostrava3
07.11.091L
Ostrava2
SK Kladno0
30.05.091L
SK Kladno0
Ostrava1
02.08.081L
Ostrava1
SK Kladno0
03.05.081L
Ostrava4
SK Kladno1
26.11.071L
SK Kladno3
Ostrava0
01.04.071L
SK Kladno1
Ostrava1
26.08.061L
Ostrava5
SK Kladno1
Recent Form
SK Kladno
20.09.26CHNL
SK Kladno2
Pribram2
D
11.09.26CHNL
Taborsko3
SK Kladno3
D
04.09.26CHNL
Karvina2
SK Kladno0
L
30.08.26CHNL
SK Kladno3
Zizkov0
W
26.08.26CUP
Domazlice3
SK Kladno4
W
21.08.26CHNL
Prostejov3
SK Kladno1
L
14.08.26CHNL
SK Kladno1
Vlasim1
D
11.08.26CUP
Hostoun0
SK Kladno4
W
07.08.26CHNL
Opava1
SK Kladno1
D
31.07.26CHNL
SK Kladno1
Ostrava B0
W
Ostrava
19.09.261L
Slovacko2
Ostrava2
D
13.09.261L
Ostrava1
FK Pardubice2
L
09.09.261L
Jablonec3
Ostrava0
L
06.09.261L
Mlada Boleslav4
Ostrava0
L
29.08.261L
Ostrava1
Sigma Olomouc0
W
26.08.26CUP
Sparta Brno0
Ostrava9
W
16.08.261L
Ostrava1
Artis Brno0
W
09.08.261L
Hradec Kralove2
Ostrava1
L
01.08.261L
Ostrava0
Slavia Prague4
L
25.07.261L
Zlin0
Ostrava1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Czech MOL Cup match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Stadion Frantiska Kloze (Kladno). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 1.5 at @1.13, which our model rates near 80%. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for SK Kladno vs Ostrava?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 79%.
What is SK Kladno's current form?
SK Kladno have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ostrava been performing recently?
Ostrava have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
SK Kladno lead with 1 wins versus Ostrava's 6, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 38%.
⚠️
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