Strong Signal 81% Confidence
S

Slovenia

Home
W L D L D
3W 4D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
C
Cyprus
Away
W L L L W
2W 3D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 4th June 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +5.2% Value detected
Kelly % 21.6% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Slovenia
2
Draws
2
Cyprus
9
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 78% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Slovenia
Metric
Cyprus
0.9
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-4-3
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
30%
20%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 6.1%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
S1
1-0 9.1%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 8.3%
1-3 3.7%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.3%
S2
2-0 6.1%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.5%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
S3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.3%) 0-1(9.1%) 1-0(9.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Slovenia
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.0
Cyprus
Overall
2.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 21%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.11.21WC
Slovenia2
Cyprus1
30.03.21WC
Cyprus1
Slovenia0
16.10.18UNL
Slovenia1
Cyprus1
09.09.18UNL
Cyprus2
Slovenia1
10.09.13WC
Cyprus0
Slovenia2
12.10.12WC
Slovenia2
Cyprus1
28.02.06FI
Cyprus0
Slovenia1
11.10.03EUR
Cyprus2
Slovenia2
02.04.03EUR
Slovenia4
Cyprus1
Recent Form
Slovenia
31.03.26FI
Montenegro2
Slovenia3
W
28.03.26FI
Hungary1
Slovenia0
L
18.11.25WC
Sweden1
Slovenia1
D
15.11.25WC
Slovenia0
Kosovo2
L
13.10.25WC
Slovenia0
Switzerland0
D
10.10.25WC
Kosovo0
Slovenia0
D
08.09.25WC
Switzerland3
Slovenia0
L
05.09.25WC
Slovenia2
Sweden2
D
10.06.25FI
Slovenia2
Bosnia & Herzegovina1
W
06.06.25FI
Luxembourg0
Slovenia1
W
Cyprus
30.03.26FI
Cyprus3
Moldova2
W
26.03.26FI
Cyprus0
Belarus1
L
18.11.25FI
Cyprus2
Estonia4
L
15.11.25WC
Cyprus0
Austria2
L
12.10.25WC
San Marino0
Cyprus4
W
09.10.25WC
Cyprus2
Bosnia & Herzegovina2
D
09.09.25WC
Cyprus2
Romania2
D
06.09.25WC
Austria1
Cyprus0
L
10.06.25WC
Romania2
Cyprus0
L
06.06.25FI
Bulgaria2
Cyprus2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 4th June 2026, Slovenia host Cyprus in International Friendly. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Slovenia arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Cyprus are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 3D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Slovenia, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Cyprus's 2, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming International Friendly fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 1.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.32 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Slovenia vs Cyprus?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Slovenia's current form?
Slovenia have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Cyprus been performing recently?
Cyprus have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Slovenia lead with 5 wins versus Cyprus's 2, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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