Moderate Signal 51% Confidence
S

Sogdiana

Home
W L W W W
6W 0D 4L ▼ Declining
VS
2:00 pm
Sogdiana Sport Complex (Jizzakh)
M
Mashal Muborak
Away
L L L L L
1W 1D 8L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 5th September 2026
1
Backing Sogdiana to win
Implied Prob 69% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Sogdiana to win
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak Date: Saturday, 5th September 2026 KO: 2:00 pm Pick: 1 (Sogdiana to win) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 51% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Sogdiana
3
Draws
3
Mashal Muborak
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Sogdiana won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sogdiana
Metric
Mashal Muborak
1.6
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.7
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-0-4
W — D — L
1-1-8
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
S0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sogdiana
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.7
Mashal Muborak
Overall
1.3
Scoring
1.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 40%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
02.08.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Sogdiana3
10.08.25SL
Sogdiana2
Mashal Muborak0
29.03.25SL
Mashal Muborak1
Sogdiana0
24.08.22CUP
Sogdiana5
Mashal Muborak2
21.09.21SL
Mashal Muborak0
Sogdiana0
15.04.21SL
Sogdiana2
Mashal Muborak2
11.09.20SL
Sogdiana0
Mashal Muborak1
29.02.20SL
Mashal Muborak3
Sogdiana0
03.12.18SL
Sogdiana3
Mashal Muborak1
13.10.17SL
Mashal Muborak0
Sogdiana0
Recent Form
Sogdiana
30.08.26CUP
Sogdiana2
Jayxun0
W
23.08.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Sogdiana0
L
18.08.26SL
Sogdiana2
Qizilqum1
W
13.08.26SL
Termez Surkhon1
Sogdiana3
W
06.08.26SL
Sogdiana1
Andijan0
W
02.08.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Sogdiana3
W
27.07.26SL
Lok. Tashkent3
Sogdiana1
L
21.07.26SL
Sogdiana1
Neftchi Fargona5
L
16.07.26SL
Sogdiana2
Xorazm Urganch0
W
02.05.26SL
Buxoro2
Sogdiana1
L
Mashal Muborak
26.08.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Navbahor Namangan2
L
19.08.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Andijan1
L
14.08.26SL
Qizilqum2
Mashal Muborak0
L
07.08.26SL
Xorazm Urganch2
Mashal Muborak0
L
02.08.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Sogdiana3
L
27.07.26SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak1
L
22.07.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
17.07.26SL
Mashal Muborak1
Kokand 19120
W
02.05.26SL
Din. Samarkand3
Mashal Muborak1
L
27.04.26SL
Mashal Muborak0
Buxoro1
L
Sogdiana (Home)
30.08.26CUP
Sogdiana2
Jayxun0
W
18.08.26SL
Sogdiana2
Qizilqum1
W
06.08.26SL
Sogdiana1
Andijan0
W
21.07.26SL
Sogdiana1
Neftchi Fargona5
L
16.07.26SL
Sogdiana2
Xorazm Urganch0
W
28.04.26SL
Sogdiana5
Termez Surkhon2
W
19.04.26SL
Sogdiana2
Bunyodkor3
L
02.04.26SL
Sogdiana2
Kokand 19122
D
20.03.26SL
Sogdiana2
Pakhtakor4
L
06.03.26SL
Sogdiana0
Nasaf Qarshi2
L
Mashal Muborak (Away)
14.08.26SL
Qizilqum2
Mashal Muborak0
L
07.08.26SL
Xorazm Urganch2
Mashal Muborak0
L
27.07.26SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak1
L
02.05.26SL
Din. Samarkand3
Mashal Muborak1
L
22.04.26SL
Termez Surkhon2
Mashal Muborak1
L
13.04.26SL
Pakhtakor2
Mashal Muborak1
L
03.04.26SL
Navbahor Namangan2
Mashal Muborak1
L
19.03.26SL
Andijan2
Mashal Muborak0
L
28.02.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Mashal Muborak0
L
30.11.25SL
OKMK2
Mashal Muborak0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Sogdiana Sport Complex (Jizzakh). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 5 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.45, which our model rates near 51%. The fixture starts at 2:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak?
Our selection is 1 — Sogdiana to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Sogdiana's current form?
Sogdiana have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mashal Muborak been performing recently?
Mashal Muborak have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sogdiana lead with 4 wins versus Mashal Muborak's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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