WON Tip WON St Patricks 2-0 Sligo Rovers
S

St Patricks

Home
W L D L W
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
S
Sligo Rovers
Away
L L W L D
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 19th June 2026
1
Backing St Patricks to win
St Patricks 50%
Draw 30%
Sligo Rovers 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
St Patricks
1
Draws
2
Sligo Rovers
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip St Patricks won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
St Patricks
Metric
Sligo Rovers
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-3-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
40%
40%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 8.2%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 12.3%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 1.7%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.3%) 2-0(9.2%) 2-1(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
St Patricks Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sligo Rovers Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
St Patricks
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
Sligo Rovers
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.05.26PD
Sligo Rovers1
St. Patricks1
03.04.26PD
St. Patricks4
Sligo Rovers1
27.09.25PD
Sligo Rovers1
St. Patricks0
10.08.25PD
St. Patricks3
Sligo Rovers0
30.05.25PD
Sligo Rovers0
St. Patricks1
28.02.25PD
St. Patricks4
Sligo Rovers3
01.11.24PD
Sligo Rovers0
St. Patricks2
04.08.24PD
St. Patricks3
Sligo Rovers2
06.05.24PD
Sligo Rovers1
St. Patricks0
01.04.24PD
St. Patricks3
Sligo Rovers0
Recent Form
St Patricks
12.06.26PD
St. Patricks2
Drogheda0
W
29.05.26PD
Shamrock Rovers1
St. Patricks0
L
22.05.26PD
Derry City0
St. Patricks0
D
15.05.26PD
St. Patricks0
Shelbourne1
L
08.05.26PD
St. Patricks4
Waterford1
W
04.05.26PD
Sligo Rovers1
St. Patricks1
D
01.05.26PD
Galway2
St. Patricks2
D
24.04.26PD
St. Patricks3
Bohemians1
W
17.04.26PD
Drogheda1
St. Patricks3
W
10.04.26PD
St. Patricks0
Shamrock Rovers1
L
Sligo Rovers
12.06.26PD
Waterford4
Sligo Rovers0
L
29.05.26PD
Sligo Rovers1
Bohemians3
L
22.05.26PD
Shamrock Rovers1
Sligo Rovers2
W
16.05.26PD
Sligo Rovers1
Galway4
L
08.05.26PD
Shelbourne0
Sligo Rovers0
D
04.05.26PD
Sligo Rovers1
St. Patricks1
D
01.05.26PD
Drogheda1
Sligo Rovers0
L
25.04.26PD
Sligo Rovers2
Dundalk0
W
18.04.26PD
Sligo Rovers2
Waterford0
W
10.04.26PD
Bohemians1
Sligo Rovers2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 19th June 2026, St Patricks host Sligo Rovers in Ireland Premier Division. We recommend St Patricks to win as the standout selection.

St Patricks arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sligo Rovers are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour St Patricks, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Sligo Rovers's 2, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: st patricks to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ireland Premier Division fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.22 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?
Our selection is 1 — St Patricks to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is St Patricks's current form?
St Patricks have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sligo Rovers been performing recently?
Sligo Rovers have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
St Patricks lead with 7 wins versus Sligo Rovers's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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