LOST Tip LOST Swansea W 0-1 TNS W
S

Swansea W

Home
L L L W W
5W 0D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
0-1
T
TNS W
Away
L L L L W
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 29th March 2026
1
Backing Swansea W to win
Swansea W 60%
Draw 20%
TNS W 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Swansea W to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Swansea W vs TNS W Competition: Wales Premier Women Date: Sunday, 29th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Swansea W to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Swansea W
2
Draws
2
TNS W
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Swansea W won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Swansea W
Metric
TNS W
2.9
Goals For / Game
0.4
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-0-5
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
S0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
S2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 2.2%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(7.2%) 2-0(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Swansea W Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
TNS W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Swansea W
Overall
5.0
Scoring
9.7
Defence
2.3
TNS W
Overall
3.6
Scoring
1.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
01.03.26
PLW: TNS2
Swansea City5
14.01.26
PLW: Swansea City3
TNS0
12.10.25
PLW: Swansea City2
TNS1
09.02.25
CUP: Swansea City1
TNS3
15.12.24
PLW: TNS1
Swansea City0
13.10.24
PLW: Swansea City0
TNS5
28.01.24
PLW: TNS0
Swansea City5
22.10.23
PLW: TNS1
Swansea City2
02.04.23
PLW: TNS2
Swansea City1
19.03.23
PLW: Swansea City4
TNS1
Recent Form
Swansea W
25.03.26
PLW: Swansea City1
Wrexham7
L
22.03.26
PLW: Cardiff City2
Swansea City1
L
15.03.26
PLW: Swansea City1
Cardiff City2
L
01.03.26
PLW: TNS2
Swansea City5
W
11.02.26
PLW: Briton Ferry1
Swansea City3
W
25.01.26
PLW: Swansea City7
Barry Town1
W
14.01.26
PLW: Swansea City3
TNS0
W
07.12.25
PLW: Pontypridd1
Swansea City5
W
30.11.25
PLW: Wrexham4
Swansea City2
L
16.11.25
PLW: Swansea City1
Cardiff City3
L
TNS W
22.03.26
PLW: TNS0
Wrexham1
L
15.03.26
PLW: Wrexham4
TNS1
L
01.03.26
PLW: TNS2
Swansea City5
L
15.02.26
PLW: TNS1
Cardiff City5
L
01.02.26
PLW: Pontypridd0
The New Saints8
W
25.01.26
PLW: The New Saints2
Aberystwyth0
W
14.01.26
PLW: Swansea City3
TNS0
L
07.12.25
PLW: TNS1
Barry Town1
D
30.11.25
PLW: Cardiff City3
TNS3
D
16.11.25
PLW: The New Saints3
Briton Ferry2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 29th March 2026, Swansea W host TNS W in Wales Premier Women. We recommend Swansea W to win as the standout selection.

Swansea W arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

TNS W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Swansea W, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to TNS W's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: swansea w to win at odds of 1.29 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Wales Premier Women fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.29 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Swansea W vs TNS W?
Our selection is 1 — Swansea W to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Swansea W's current form?
Swansea W have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has TNS W been performing recently?
TNS W have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Swansea W lead with 6 wins versus TNS W's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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