Strong Signal 90% Confidence
S

Sweden

Home
L W W D L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
G
Greece
Away
D L D W L
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 4th June 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +14.2% Value detected
Kelly % 58.8% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Sweden vs Greece Competition: International Friendly Date: Thursday, 4th June 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Sweden
1
Draws
2
Greece
6
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Sweden
Metric
Greece
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.8
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-2-5
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
30%
40%
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
S0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 6.4%
0-3 4.1%
0-4 2.0%
0-5 0.8%
S1
1-0 4.8%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.2%
1-3 6.0%
1-4 2.9%
1-5 1.1%
S2
2-0 3.5%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
S3
3-0 1.7%
3-1 3.3%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.4%
S4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(9.4%) 1-2(9.2%) 2-1(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   G=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Sweden
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.0
Greece
Overall
4.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.10.21WC
Sweden2
Greece0
08.09.21WC
Greece2
Sweden1
10.06.08EUR
Greece0
Sweden2
20.08.03FI
Sweden1
Greece2
13.02.02FI
Greece2
Sweden2
28.08.20OG
Sweden9
Greece0
Recent Form
Sweden
01.06.26FI
Norway3
Sweden1
L
31.03.26WC
Sweden3
Poland2
W
26.03.26WC
Ukraine1
Sweden3
W
18.11.25WC
Sweden1
Slovenia1
D
15.11.25WC
Switzerland4
Sweden1
L
13.10.25WC
Sweden0
Kosovo1
L
10.10.25WC
Sweden0
Switzerland2
L
08.09.25WC
Kosovo2
Sweden0
L
05.09.25WC
Slovenia2
Sweden2
D
10.06.25FI
Sweden4
Algeria3
W
Greece
31.03.26FI
Hungary0
Greece0
D
27.03.26FI
Greece0
Paraguay1
L
18.11.25WC
Belarus0
Greece0
D
15.11.25WC
Greece3
Scotland2
W
12.10.25WC
Denmark3
Greece1
L
09.10.25WC
Scotland3
Greece1
L
08.09.25WC
Greece0
Denmark3
L
05.09.25WC
Greece5
Belarus1
W
10.06.25FI
Greece4
Bulgaria0
W
07.06.25FI
Greece4
Slovakia1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 4th June 2026, Sweden host Greece in International Friendly. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Sweden arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Greece are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Sweden, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Greece's 2, with 1 draws from 6 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.32 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming International Friendly fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 1.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.32 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Sweden vs Greece?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Sweden's current form?
Sweden have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Greece been performing recently?
Greece have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Sweden lead with 3 wins versus Greece's 2, with 1 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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