Strong Signal 75% Confidence
T

Toftir

Home
L W D L D
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
H
HB Torshavn
Away
L W L D W
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 26th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.6% Value detected
Kelly % 15.5% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.42
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Toftir vs HB Torshavn Competition: Faroe Islands Premier League Date: Tuesday, 26th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 75% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Toftir
1
Draws
7
HB Torshavn
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Toftir
Metric
HB Torshavn
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.5
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
3-2-5
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
30%
30%
3.9
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
T0
0-0 2.1%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.6%
T1
1-0 3.9%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 5.3%
1-4 2.6%
1-5 1.1%
T2
2-0 3.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.9%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.0%
T3
3-0 2.3%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 3.0%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.6%
T4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
T5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(7.9%) 1-2(7.9%) 2-1(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Toftir
Overall
3.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
1.7
HB Torshavn
Overall
3.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
03.10.25PL
HB Torshavn5
Toftir1
14.06.25PL
Toftir1
HB Torshavn4
07.03.25PL
HB Torshavn3
Toftir2
18.08.24PL
HB Torshavn1
Toftir0
28.06.24PL
Toftir1
HB Torshavn0
08.04.24PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
04.11.23CUP
Toftir0
HB Torshavn1
30.09.23PL
HB Torshavn3
Toftir3
04.06.23PL
Toftir0
HB Torshavn2
Recent Form
Toftir
17.05.26PL
Toftir1
Klaksvik4
L
10.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
Toftir2
W
03.05.26PL
Toftir1
Streymur1
D
29.04.26CUP
Toftir0
Klaksvik3
L
26.04.26PL
Vikingur2
Toftir2
D
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
W
15.04.26CUP
Toftir7
Midvagur0
W
11.04.26PL
Klaksvik6
Toftir1
L
04.04.26PL
Toftir1
NSI Runavik2
L
21.03.26PL
B36 Torshavn6
Toftir0
L
HB Torshavn
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
08.05.26PL
NSI Runavik2
HB Torshavn1
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
26.04.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Klaksvik2
L
19.04.26PL
Toftir3
HB Torshavn1
L
15.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Sandur0
W
12.04.26PL
Streymur1
HB Torshavn2
W
06.04.26PL
HB Torshavn2
B36 Torshavn2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 26th May 2026, Toftir host HB Torshavn in Faroe Islands Premier League. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Toftir arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

HB Torshavn are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Toftir, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to HB Torshavn's 7, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.42 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Faroe Islands Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.42 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Toftir vs HB Torshavn?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Toftir's current form?
Toftir have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has HB Torshavn been performing recently?
HB Torshavn have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Toftir lead with 2 wins versus HB Torshavn's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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