Moderate Signal 63% Confidence
V

Vietnam

Home
D W W W W
8W 2D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
—
12:30 pm
—
Si Jalak Harupat Stadium (Bandung)
P
Philippines
Away
L L W L W
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 26th September 2026
1
Backing Vietnam to win
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -8.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
⚡
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Vietnam to win
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals85% Vietnam Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Vietnam vs Philippines Competition: FIFA ASEAN Cup Date: Saturday, 26th September 2026 KO: 12:30 pm Pick: 1 (Vietnam to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: Vietnam Clean Sheet (70%)
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Head to Head
Record
7
Vietnam
1
Draws
2
Philippines
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Vietnam won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vietnam
Metric
Philippines
2.7
Goals For / Game
2.5
0.4
Goals Against / Game
1.2
70%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-2-0
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
80%
60%
3.4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
V0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
V1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 3.3%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
V2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
V3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
V4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 1-0(6.5%) 2-0(6.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Vietnam
Overall
8.6 —
Scoring
9.0 —
Defence
8.7 —
Philippines
Overall
6.3 ▲
Scoring
8.3 ▲
Defence
6.0 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.12.24ACH
Philippines1
Vietnam1
06.06.24WC
Vietnam3
Philippines2
16.11.23WC
Philippines0
Vietnam2
14.12.22FI
Vietnam1
Philippines0
31.12.18FI
Philippines2
Vietnam4
06.12.18ACH
Vietnam2
Philippines1
02.12.18ACH
Philippines1
Vietnam2
28.11.14ACH
Vietnam3
Philippines1
27.11.12ACH
Vietnam0
Philippines1
05.12.10ACH
Philippines2
Vietnam0
Recent Form
Vietnam
26.08.26ACH
Vietnam2
Thailand2
D
22.08.26ACH
Thailand0
Vietnam2
W
19.08.26ACH
Vietnam2
Malaysia0
W
16.08.26ACH
Malaysia0
Vietnam2
W
07.08.26ACH
Vietnam3
Cambodia1
W
03.08.26ACH
Indonesia0
Vietnam3
W
31.07.26ACH
Vietnam0
Singapore0
D
24.07.26ACH
Timor-Leste0
Vietnam7
W
18.07.26FI
Vietnam4
Myanmar0
W
13.07.26FI
Vietnam2
Gangwon1
W
Philippines
08.08.26ACH
Malaysia1
Philippines0
L
04.08.26ACH
Philippines0
Thailand1
L
01.08.26ACH
Laos1
Philippines4
W
28.07.26ACH
Philippines1
Myanmar4
L
09.06.26FI
Philippines5
Myanmar1
W
03.06.26FI
Philippines5
Guam1
W
31.03.26AC
Tajikistan1
Philippines1
D
18.11.25AC
Maldives0
Philippines2
W
14.10.25AC
Philippines3
Timor-Leste1
W
09.10.25AC
Timor-Leste1
Philippines4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this FIFA ASEAN Cup match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Si Jalak Harupat Stadium (Bandung). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.40, which our model rates near 47%. The fixture starts at 12:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vietnam vs Philippines?
Our selection is 1 — Vietnam to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Vietnam's current form?
Vietnam have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Philippines been performing recently?
Philippines have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vietnam lead with 7 wins versus Philippines's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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