Moderate Signal 62% Confidence
W

Weszlo

Home
D W W W D
8W 2D 0L ▲ Improving
VS
—
2:00 pm
—
N/A
Z
Zambrow
Away
L D D L L
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 3rd October 2026
1
Backing Weszlo to win
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -12.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Weszlo to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Weszlo vs Zambrow Competition: Poland III Liga - Group 1 Date: Saturday, 3rd October 2026 KO: 2:00 pm Pick: 1 (Weszlo to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
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Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Weszlo
Metric
Zambrow
2.3
Goals For / Game
2
0.7
Goals Against / Game
2.6
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-2-0
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
80%
30%
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Z0
Z1
Z2
Z3
Z4
Z5
W0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 3.0%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
W1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 7.4%
1-2 5.0%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
W2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
W3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 7.4%
3-2 5.0%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
W4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 4.5%
4-2 3.1%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
W5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 2.2%
5-2 1.5%
5-3 0.7%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 3-1(7.4%) 2-0(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓   Z=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Weszlo
Overall
8.6 ▲
Scoring
7.7 ▲
Defence
7.7 ▲
Zambrow
Overall
3.6 ▲
Scoring
6.7 ▲
Defence
1.3 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 37%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 43%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Weszlo
26.09.263L
Lidzbark Warminski1
Weszlo1
D
19.09.263L
Weszlo2
Olimpia Elblag1
W
12.09.263L
Swit Mazowiecki0
Weszlo1
W
05.09.263L
Weszlo2
Zabki0
W
29.08.263L
Troszyn3
Weszlo3
D
23.08.263L
Weszlo4
Jagiellonia II0
W
19.08.263L
LKS Lodz II0
Weszlo2
W
14.08.263L
Weszlo5
Mlawa1
W
08.08.263L
LKS Lomza0
Weszlo1
W
31.07.263L
Weszlo2
T. Mazowiecki1
W
Zambrow
26.09.263L
Zambrow1
Pelikan3
L
19.09.263L
Warta Sieradz2
Zambrow2
D
12.09.263L
Zambrow1
Suwalki1
D
05.09.263L
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki5
Zambrow0
L
30.08.263L
Zambrow3
Widzew Lodz II4
L
23.08.263L
Zambrow4
Plock II3
W
19.08.263L
Lidzbark Warminski2
Zambrow3
W
15.08.263L
Zambrow1
Olimpia Elblag2
L
08.08.263L
Swit Mazowiecki4
Zambrow0
L
01.08.263L
Zambrow5
Zabki0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Poland III Liga – Group 1 match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.34, which our model rates near 50%. The fixture starts at 2:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Weszlo vs Zambrow?
Our selection is 1 — Weszlo to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Weszlo's current form?
Weszlo have won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Zambrow been performing recently?
Zambrow have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game.
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