WON Tip WON Zalgiris 3-0 FK Panevezys
Z

Zalgiris

Home
W W L L D
4W 2D 4L → Steady
VS
3-0
F
FK Panevezys
Away
L L W W W
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 16th June 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 87% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge 0% Fair price
Kelly % 0.3% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.15
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys Competition: Lithuania TopLyga Date: Tuesday, 16th June 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 87% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Zalgiris
1
Draws
4
FK Panevezys
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zalgiris
Metric
FK Panevezys
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
40%
50%
2.8
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
Z0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 9.0%
0-2 6.3%
0-3 2.9%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
Z1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
Z2
2-0 5.8%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.3%
Z3
3-0 2.6%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
Z4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.1%) 0-1(9.0%) 1-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Z=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zalgiris
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
FK Panevezys
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
27.02.26TL
Zalgiris4
FK Panevezys1
08.11.25TL
FK Panevezys3
Zalgiris1
31.08.25TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
29.06.25TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris4
25.04.25TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys3
03.11.24TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys4
11.08.24TL
FK Panevezys0
Zalgiris0
16.06.24TL
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
06.05.24CUP
Zalgiris2
FK Panevezys1
Recent Form
Zalgiris
12.06.26TL
Zalgiris3
Riteriai2
W
31.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris0
Zalgiris1
W
24.05.26TL
Zalgiris1
Hegelmann3
L
17.05.26TL
Transinvest1
Zalgiris0
L
10.05.26TL
Suduva1
Zalgiris1
D
06.05.26TL
Zalgiris3
FA Siauliai1
W
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
L
26.04.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai0
Zalgiris3
W
21.04.26CUP
Atmosfera2
Zalgiris1
L
17.04.26TL
Zalgiris1
Banga1
D
FK Panevezys
12.06.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Transinvest2
L
30.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai4
FK Panevezys0
L
24.05.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Banga0
W
20.05.26CUP
Atmosfera0
FK Panevezys3
W
15.05.26TL
Riteriai0
FK Panevezys3
W
10.05.26TL
FK Panevezys1
Kauno Zalgiris1
D
06.05.26TL
Hegelmann3
FK Panevezys2
L
03.05.26TL
FK Panevezys2
Zalgiris1
W
29.04.26CUP
FSK Radviliskis0
FK Panevezys2
W
25.04.26TL
Suduva1
FK Panevezys0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 16th June 2026, Zalgiris host FK Panevezys in Lithuania TopLyga. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Zalgiris arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

FK Panevezys are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zalgiris, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to FK Panevezys's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 90% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Lithuania TopLyga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 1.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.15 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 87%.
What is Zalgiris's current form?
Zalgiris have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Panevezys been performing recently?
FK Panevezys have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zalgiris lead with 5 wins versus FK Panevezys's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
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