WON Tip WON Velez Mostar 1-0 Radnik Bijeljina
V

Velez Mostar

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D W D W D
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
R
Radnik Bijeljina
Away
W D L L L
3W 3D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 1st May 2026
1
Backing Velez Mostar to win
Velez Mostar 50%
Draw 30%
Radnik Bijeljina 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 69% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Velez Mostar to win
1.45
BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina Competition: Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Date: Friday, 1st May 2026 Pick: 1 (Velez Mostar to win) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 47% Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Velez Mostar
2
Draws
4
Radnik Bijeljina
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Velez Mostar won 4 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Velez Mostar
Metric
Radnik Bijeljina
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.9
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-3-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
50%
30%
2.1
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
V0
0-0 12.3%
0-1 9.8%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 15.9%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
V2
2-0 10.4%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
V3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 1.4%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.9%) 2-0(10.4%) 2-1(8.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Velez Mostar Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Radnik Bijeljina Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Velez Mostar
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.7
Radnik Bijeljina
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.02.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
Velez Mostar0
09.11.25LIG
Velez Mostar1
Radnik Bijeljina0
23.08.25LIG
Radnik Bijeljina3
Velez Mostar0
13.04.25LIG
Velez Mostar3
Radnik Bijeljina2
08.02.25CUP
Velez Mostar2
Radnik Bijeljina1
29.11.24LIG
Velez Mostar2
Radnik Bijeljina1
24.08.24LIG
Radnik Bijeljina4
Velez Mostar3
15.04.22LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Velez Mostar0
31.10.21LIG
Velez Mostar1
Radnik Bijeljina2
08.08.21LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
Velez Mostar1
Recent Form
Velez Mostar
25.04.26LIG
Zeljeznicar0
Velez Mostar0
D
21.04.26LIG
Velez Mostar3
Siroki Brijeg0
W
18.04.26LIG
Borac Banja Luka2
Velez Mostar2
D
15.04.26CUP
Sloga Meridian0
Velez Mostar3
W
11.04.26LIG
Velez Mostar0
Sloga Meridian0
D
08.04.26CUP
Velez Mostar3
Sloga Meridian1
W
03.04.26LIG
Velez Mostar0
Zrinjski1
L
22.03.26LIG
FK Sarajevo1
Velez Mostar0
L
15.03.26LIG
Prijedor1
Velez Mostar2
W
11.03.26CUP
Velez Mostar4
FK Sarajevo1
W
Radnik Bijeljina
25.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
Prijedor0
W
22.04.26LIG
Posusje1
Radnik Bijeljina1
D
18.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina1
FK Sarajevo2
L
15.04.26CUP
Zrinjski2
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
11.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zeljeznicar3
L
08.04.26CUP
Radnik Bijeljina0
Zrinjski0
D
04.04.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina2
Siroki Brijeg0
W
21.03.26LIG
Borac Banja Luka1
Radnik Bijeljina0
L
17.03.26CUP
Radnik Bijeljina4
Laktasi0
W
14.03.26LIG
Radnik Bijeljina0
Sloga Meridian0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Velez Mostar host Radnik Bijeljina in Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH. We recommend Velez Mostar to win as the standout selection.

Velez Mostar arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Radnik Bijeljina are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Velez Mostar, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Radnik Bijeljina's 4, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: velez mostar to win at odds of 1.45 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.45 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Velez Mostar vs Radnik Bijeljina?
Our selection is 1 — Velez Mostar to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Velez Mostar's current form?
Velez Mostar have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Radnik Bijeljina been performing recently?
Radnik Bijeljina have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Velez Mostar lead with 4 wins versus Radnik Bijeljina's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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