WON Tip WON Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Hilal
A

Al Khaleej

Home
W W L D L
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
1-2
A
Al Hilal
Away
W W L W D
7W 2D 1L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 5th May 2026
2
Backing Al Hilal to win
Al Khaleej 20%
Draw 30%
Al Hilal 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Khaleej
0
Draws
9
Al Hilal
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Hilal won 9 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Khaleej
Metric
Al Hilal
1.2
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.1
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-2-5
W — D — L
7-2-1
Win Rate
30%
70%
3.4
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 8.5%
0-3 6.2%
0-4 3.4%
0-5 1.5%
A1
1-0 4.0%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 7.2%
1-4 3.9%
1-5 1.7%
A2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 5.1%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 4.1%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 1.0%
A3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.4%
A4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.8%) 0-2(8.5%) 0-1(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Khaleej Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Hilal Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Khaleej
Overall
3.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
4.7
Al Hilal
Overall
7.6
Scoring
9.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 15%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 35%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.12.25SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Khaleej2
17.04.25SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Khaleej0
23.11.24SPL
Al Khaleej3
Al Hilal2
05.04.24SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal4
20.10.23SPL
Al Hilal1
Al Khaleej0
01.04.23SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Khaleej0
25.08.22SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Hilal2
16.02.17SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Khaleej0
20.10.16SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Hilal6
02.04.16SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Hilal3
Recent Form
Al Khaleej
02.05.26SPL
Damac0
Al Khaleej2
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Khaleej3
Al Najma1
W
24.04.26SPL
Al Fateh1
Al Khaleej0
L
03.04.26SPL
Al Kholood2
Al Khaleej2
D
14.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Nassr5
L
06.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Hazem1
W
27.02.26SPL
Al Ittihad1
Al Khaleej0
L
24.02.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Kholood3
L
21.02.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Neom SC1
L
14.02.26SPL
Al Riyadh1
Al Khaleej1
D
Al Hilal
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
W
28.04.26SPL
Al Hilal1
Damac0
W
13.04.26CL
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
L
08.04.26SPL
Al Hilal6
Al Kholood0
W
04.04.26SPL
Al Hilal2
Al Taawon2
D
18.03.26KC
Al Ahli SC1
Al Hilal2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Fateh0
Al Hilal1
W
06.03.26SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Najma0
W
27.02.26SPL
Al Shabab3
Al Hilal5
W
24.02.26SPL
Al Taawon1
Al Hilal1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 5th May 2026, Al Khaleej host Al Hilal in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Hilal to win as the standout selection.

Al Khaleej arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Hilal are travelling well, with a record of 7W 2D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Khaleej, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Al Hilal's 9, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al hilal to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Saudi Professional League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.21 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Khaleej vs Al Hilal?
Our selection is 2 — Al Hilal to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Al Khaleej's current form?
Al Khaleej have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hilal been performing recently?
Al Hilal have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Khaleej lead with 1 wins versus Al Hilal's 9, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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