LOST Tip LOST Pepo 1-1 Union Plaani
P

Pepo

Home
W L W W W
7W 2D 1L → Steady
VS
1-1
U
Union Plaani
Away
D L L L L
3W 1D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 23rd May 2026
1
Backing Pepo to win
Pepo 60%
Draw 20%
Union Plaani 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Pepo to win
1.18
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Pepo vs Union Plaani Competition: Finland Kakkonen A Date: Saturday, 23rd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Pepo to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Pepo
Metric
Union Plaani
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
2.9
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
3.6
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
P0
0-0 2.9%
0-1 3.7%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 6.5%
1-1 8.4%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
P2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
P3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 7.1%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
P4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(7.3%) 3-1(7.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   U=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Pepo Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Union Plaani Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Pepo
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
Union Plaani
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
0.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 43%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 49%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Pepo
16.05.26KAK
Pui U1
PEPO2
W
12.05.26CUP
SJK3
PEPO0
L
09.05.26KAK
PEPO2
Kiffen1
W
02.05.26KAK
HPS1
PEPO2
W
28.04.26CUP
PEPO2
JJK Jyvaskyla1
W
25.04.26KAK
PEPO4
Atlantis1
W
17.04.26KAK
PPJ1
PEPO1
D
11.04.26CUP
NiemU0
PEPO1
W
21.03.26CF
PEPO2
Lahden Reipas1
W
31.01.26CF
Lahden Reipas0
PEPO0
D
Union Plaani
16.05.26KAK
Union Plaani2
PPJ2
D
08.05.26KAK
Atlantis5
Union Plaani1
L
02.05.26KAK
Union Plaani1
MyPa3
L
28.04.26CUP
Union Plaani2
Lahti4
L
25.04.26KAK
PuiU3
Union Plaani1
L
17.04.26KAK
HIFK5
Union Plaani1
L
07.04.26CUP
KyPa0
Union Plaani4
W
28.05.25CUP
Haka6
Union Plaani0
L
07.05.25CUP
Union Plaani2
Vaajakoski0
W
18.04.25CUP
KeuPa1
Union Plaani2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 23rd May 2026, Pepo host Union Plaani in Finland Kakkonen A. We recommend Pepo to win as the standout selection.

Pepo arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Union Plaani are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: pepo to win at odds of 1.18 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Finland Kakkonen A fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.18 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Pepo vs Union Plaani?
Our selection is 1 — Pepo to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Pepo's current form?
Pepo have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Union Plaani been performing recently?
Union Plaani have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game.
⚠️
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