WON Tip WON Cork City 4-0 Treaty United
C

Cork City

Home
W W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
4-0
T
Treaty United
Away
D L L L W
2W 4D 4L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 19th June 2026
1
Backing Cork City to win
Cork City 60%
Draw 20%
Treaty United 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Cork City
4
Draws
1
Treaty United
10
Meetings
1.8
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Neutral Cork City won 5 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Cork City
Metric
Treaty United
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
C0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 7.3%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 11.6%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.5%) 2-0(11.6%) 2-1(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cork City Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Treaty United Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Cork City
Overall
7.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
8.3
Treaty United
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.05.26DIV
Treaty United0
Cork City1
13.02.26DIV
Cork City1
Treaty United0
18.01.25CF
Cork City2
Treaty United1
04.10.24DIV
Cork City1
Treaty United1
02.08.24DIV
Treaty United1
Cork City1
24.05.24DIV
Cork City1
Treaty United1
22.03.24DIV
Treaty United0
Cork City0
22.07.23FAI
Treaty United0
Cork City2
21.01.23CF
Cork City3
Treaty United0
12.08.22DIV
Cork City0
Treaty United2
Recent Form
Cork City
12.06.26DIV
Wexford0
Cork City2
W
29.05.26DIV
Cork City4
Finn Harps0
W
25.05.26DIV
Treaty United0
Cork City1
W
22.05.26DIV
Athlone0
Cork City3
W
16.05.26DIV
Longford0
Cork City2
W
08.05.26DIV
Cork City3
UC Dublin1
W
04.05.26DIV
Kerry1
Cork City0
L
01.05.26DIV
Cork City0
Cobh Ramblers1
L
24.04.26DIV
Bray1
Cork City1
D
17.04.26DIV
Cork City2
Wexford1
W
Treaty United
12.06.26DIV
Treaty United2
Bray2
D
29.05.26DIV
Longford3
Treaty United1
L
25.05.26DIV
Treaty United0
Cork City1
L
22.05.26DIV
Treaty United1
Cobh Ramblers2
L
15.05.26DIV
Treaty United3
Finn Harps0
W
08.05.26DIV
Athlone0
Treaty United0
D
04.05.26DIV
Treaty United1
Wexford0
W
01.05.26DIV
Bray2
Treaty United2
D
24.04.26DIV
Treaty United0
UC Dublin3
L
17.04.26DIV
Kerry1
Treaty United1
D
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 19th June 2026, Cork City host Treaty United in Ireland Division 1. We recommend Cork City to win as the standout selection.

Cork City arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Treaty United are struggling away from home, with a record of 2W 4D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cork City, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Treaty United's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cork city to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ireland Division 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.27 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cork City vs Treaty United?
Our selection is 1 — Cork City to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Cork City's current form?
Cork City have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Treaty United been performing recently?
Treaty United have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cork City lead with 5 wins versus Treaty United's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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