Moderate Signal 54% Confidence
K

Kairat Almaty

Home
W W W W D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
4:00 pm
Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)
S
Sutjeska
Away
L L L L W
4W 2D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 8th July 2026
1
Backing Kairat Almaty to win
Kairat Almaty 50%
Draw 30%
Sutjeska 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -24.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Kairat Almaty
Metric
Sutjeska
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
60%
40%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
K0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
K3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
K4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kairat Almaty Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sutjeska Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kairat Almaty
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.0
Sutjeska
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Kairat Almaty
02.07.26PL
Kairat Almaty5
Okzhetpes0
W
27.06.26PL
Okzhetpes1
Kairat Almaty3
W
21.06.26PL
Kyzylzhar2
Kairat Almaty4
W
17.06.26PL
Kairat Almaty3
Kyzylzhar0
W
13.06.26PL
Kairat Almaty1
Atyrau1
D
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
L
23.05.26PL
Kairat Almaty0
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
D
17.05.26PL
Zhenis1
Kairat Almaty2
W
10.05.26PL
Ulytau1
Kairat Almaty1
D
06.05.26PL
Kaisar Kyzylorda1
Kairat Almaty2
W
Sutjeska
01.07.26CF
Sutjeska1
FK Sarajevo2
L
24.06.26CF
Mornar Bar1
Sutjeska0
L
23.06.26CF
Borac Banja Luka1
Sutjeska0
L
24.05.26PCL
Sutjeska1
Jedinstvo3
L
20.05.26PCL
Mladost DG0
Sutjeska1
W
16.05.26PCL
Sutjeska3
Decic0
W
09.05.26PCL
Arsenal Tivat1
Sutjeska1
D
02.05.26PCL
Bokelj2
Sutjeska3
W
26.04.26PCL
Sutjeska1
Jezero1
D
18.04.26PCL
Petrovac0
Sutjeska1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th July 2026, Kairat Almaty host Sutjeska at Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend Kairat Almaty to win as the standout selection.

Kairat Almaty arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Sutjeska are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: kairat almaty to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this UCL Qualifiers match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.27, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska?
Our selection is 1 — Kairat Almaty to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Kairat Almaty's current form?
Kairat Almaty have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sutjeska been performing recently?
Sutjeska have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game.
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