WON Tip WON Al Nassr 5-1 Al Ahli Doha
A

Al Nassr

Home
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L → Steady
VS
5-1
A
Al Ahli Doha
Away
W W D W D
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
1
Backing Al Nassr to win
Al Nassr 50%
Draw 30%
Al Ahli Doha 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 87.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Nassr to win
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% Al Nassr Clean Sheet80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Doha Competition: AFC Champions League 2 Date: Wednesday, 22nd April 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Nassr to win) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Al Nassr Clean Sheet (80%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Nassr
Metric
Al Ahli Doha
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.9
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1.6
80%
Clean Sheets
10%
10-0-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
100%
40%
3.5
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 3.5%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 8.2%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 8.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 6.9%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 4.4%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.9%
5-1 2.1%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(8.8%) 3-1(7.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Nassr Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Ahli Doha Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Nassr
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
9.0
Al Ahli Doha
Overall
4.9
Scoring
6.3
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 46%
Home Win & Under 2.5 20%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Al Nassr
19.04.26CL2
Al Wasl0
Al Nassr4
W
15.04.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Ettifaq0
W
11.04.26SPL
Al Okhdood0
Al Nassr2
W
03.04.26SPL
Al Nassr5
Al Najma2
W
14.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej0
Al Nassr5
W
07.03.26SPL
Al Nassr1
Neom SC0
W
28.02.26SPL
Al Fayha1
Al Nassr3
W
25.02.26SPL
Al Najma0
Al Nassr5
W
21.02.26SPL
Al Nassr4
Al Hazem0
W
18.02.26CL2
Al Nassr1
Arkadag0
W
Al Ahli Doha
19.04.26CL2
Al Ahli Doha3
Al Hussein1
W
08.04.26QSL
Al Ahli Doha2
Al-Duhail1
W
03.04.26QSL
Al Ahli Doha2
Al Sailiya2
D
18.03.26QSL
Al-Gharafa1
Al Ahli Doha4
W
13.03.26QSL
Al Ahli Doha1
Al Arabi1
D
27.02.26QSL
Al Ahli Doha1
Al-Shahaniya2
L
22.02.26QSL
Al Rayyan2
Al Ahli Doha1
L
18.02.26CL2
Al Ahli Doha1
Sepahan0
W
15.02.26EMI
Al Ahli Doha2
Umm-Salal4
L
11.02.26CL2
Sepahan2
Al Ahli Doha2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming AFC Champions League 2 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.14 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Nassr vs Al Ahli Doha?
Our selection is 1 — Al Nassr to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Al Nassr's current form?
Al Nassr have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Ahli Doha been performing recently?
Al Ahli Doha have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game.
⚠️
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