LOST Tip LOST Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Stellenbosch
M

Mamelodi Sundowns

Home
W W W W L
9W 0D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
1-1
S
Stellenbosch
Away
W L W D D
4W 4D 2L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
1
Backing Mamelodi Sundowns to win
Mamelodi Sundowns 50%
Draw 30%
Stellenbosch 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Mamelodi Sundowns
1
Draws
3
Stellenbosch
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Mamelodi Sundowns won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Mamelodi Sundowns
Metric
Stellenbosch
2
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-0-1
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
90%
40%
2.4
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
M0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 3.9%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 13.8%
1-1 12.5%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 10.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 4.1%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
M3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.8%) 2-0(10.0%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Mamelodi Sundowns Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Stellenbosch Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Mamelodi Sundowns
Overall
9.0
Scoring
6.7
Defence
8.0
Stellenbosch
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 33%
Home Win & BTTS No 27%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.08.25PS
Stellenbosch0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
11.05.25PS
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Stellenbosch0
18.12.24PS
Stellenbosch0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
01.09.24MTN
Stellenbosch1
Mamelodi Sundowns0
28.08.24MTN
Mamelodi Sundowns0
Stellenbosch1
18.05.24PS
Stellenbosch0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
05.05.24NC
Stellenbosch1
Mamelodi Sundowns2
27.09.23PS
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Stellenbosch1
15.04.23NC
Stellenbosch2
Mamelodi Sundowns1
05.03.23PS
Stellenbosch1
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Recent Form
Mamelodi Sundowns
18.04.26CL
Mamelodi Sundowns1
Esperance Tunis0
W
12.04.26CL
Esperance Tunis0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
W
07.04.26PS
Durban City0
Mamelodi Sundowns1
W
03.04.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns4
Chippa Utd.1
W
22.03.26CL
Stade Malien2
Mamelodi Sundowns0
L
17.03.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Marumo Gallants1
W
13.03.26CL
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Stade Malien0
W
10.03.26PS
Orbit College0
Mamelodi Sundowns2
W
04.03.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns2
Golden Arrows1
W
01.03.26PS
Mamelodi Sundowns3
Sekhukhune1
Stellenbosch
17.04.26PS
Stellenbosch3
Sekhukhune1
W
07.04.26PS
Richards Bay2
Stellenbosch1
L
21.03.26PS
Stellenbosch2
Chippa Utd.1
W
18.03.26PS
Golden Arrows1
Stellenbosch1
D
13.03.26PS
Stellenbosch1
TS Galaxy1
D
03.03.26PS
Siwelele0
Stellenbosch0
D
27.02.26PS
Stellenbosch1
AmaZulu0
W
24.02.26PS
Kaizer Chiefs1
Stellenbosch2
W
21.02.26NC
Golden Arrows1
Stellenbosch0
L
18.02.26PS
Stellenbosch1
Magesi1
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming South Africa Premiership fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.25 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch?
Our selection is 1 — Mamelodi Sundowns to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Mamelodi Sundowns's current form?
Mamelodi Sundowns have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stellenbosch been performing recently?
Stellenbosch have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Mamelodi Sundowns lead with 6 wins versus Stellenbosch's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.