WON Tip WON Shanghai Shenhua 2-0 Qingdao Hainiu
S

Shanghai Shenhua

Home
W W W D D
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
Q
Qingdao Hainiu
Away
D D W L L
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
1
Backing Shanghai Shenhua to win
Shanghai Shenhua 50%
Draw 30%
Qingdao Hainiu 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
10
Shanghai Shenhua
0
Draws
0
Qingdao Hainiu
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
10%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Shanghai Shenhua won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shanghai Shenhua
Metric
Qingdao Hainiu
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.7
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-4-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
30%
30%
3.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Q0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5
S0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
S1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 8.0%
1-3 4.0%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.5%
S2
2-0 5.8%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
S3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.8%) 1-0(7.1%) 2-0(5.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   Q=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shanghai Shenhua Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Qingdao Hainiu Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shanghai Shenhua
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.7
Qingdao Hainiu
Overall
3.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 24%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 20%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.08.25SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
16.04.25SL
Shanghai Shenhua3
Qingdao Hainiu2
28.09.24SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shanghai Shenhua1
15.05.24SL
Shanghai Shenhua2
Qingdao Hainiu0
07.11.23FAC
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shanghai Shenhua1
30.09.23SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Qingdao Hainiu0
08.06.23SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shanghai Shenhua1
11.05.16FAC
Shanghai Shenhua5
Qingdao Hainiu0
08.07.15FAC
Qingdao Hainiu0
Shanghai Shenhua3
17.08.13SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Qingdao Hainiu0
Recent Form
Shanghai Shenhua
18.04.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua3
Liaoning Tieren1
W
11.04.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua1
Shanghai Port0
W
05.04.26SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2
Shanghai Shenhua3
W
21.03.26SL
Beijing Guoan1
Shanghai Shenhua1
D
14.03.26SL
Zhejiang Professional1
Shanghai Shenhua1
D
07.03.26SL
Shanghai Shenhua5
Dalian Yingbo3
W
17.02.26CL
Buriram2
Shanghai Shenhua0
L
10.02.26CL
Shanghai Shenhua0
Machida2
L
26.01.26CF
Rodina Moscow1
Shanghai Shenhua1
D
23.01.26CF
Dynamo Moscow2
Shanghai Shenhua2
D
Qingdao Hainiu
17.04.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu0
Qingdao West Coast0
D
12.04.26SL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Qingdao Hainiu1
D
04.04.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Henan Songshan Longmen0
W
20.03.26SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Zhejiang Professional4
L
15.03.26SL
Chengdu Rongcheng1
Qingdao Hainiu0
L
07.03.26SL
Yunnan Yukun3
Qingdao Hainiu1
L
22.11.25SL
Zhejiang Professional2
Qingdao Hainiu2
D
02.11.25SL
Qingdao Hainiu1
Wuhan Three Towns0
W
26.10.25SL
Beijing Guoan2
Qingdao Hainiu4
W
17.10.25SL
Qingdao Hainiu3
Shanghai Port4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming China Super League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.36 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu?
Our selection is 1 — Shanghai Shenhua to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Shanghai Shenhua's current form?
Shanghai Shenhua have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Qingdao Hainiu been performing recently?
Qingdao Hainiu have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shanghai Shenhua lead with 10 wins versus Qingdao Hainiu's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 10%.
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