WON Tip WON Al Qadsiah 2-0 Al Hazem
A

Al Qadsiah

Home
W W W D D
6W 3D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
A
Al Hazem
Away
D L D W W
4W 3D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 14th May 2026
1
Backing Al Qadsiah to win
Al Qadsiah 50%
Draw 30%
Al Hazem 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -34% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Qadsiah to win
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes75%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Thursday, 14th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Qadsiah to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (75%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Al Qadsiah
3
Draws
3
Al Hazem
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Qadsiah won 4 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Qadsiah
Metric
Al Hazem
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.6%) 1-0(7.6%) 2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Qadsiah Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Hazem Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Qadsiah
Overall
6.9
Scoring
8.7
Defence
6.0
Al Hazem
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 16%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.01.26SPL
Al Hazem1
Al Qadsiah5
28.10.25KC
Al Qadsiah3
Al Hazem1
06.03.23DIV
Al Qadsiah1
Al Hazem1
10.10.22DIV
Al Hazem1
Al Qadsiah0
16.05.19SPL
Al Qadsiah2
Al Hazem2
18.10.18SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Qadsiah1
20.04.15DIV
Al Hazem0
Al Qadsiah2
12.12.14DIV
Al Qadsiah1
Al Hazem2
29.03.14DIV
Al Qadsiah1
Al Hazem1
06.12.13DIV
Al Hazem0
Al Qadsiah1
Recent Form
Al Qadsiah
09.05.26SPL
Al Fayha1
Al Qadsiah2
W
03.05.26SPL
Al Qadsiah3
Al Nassr1
W
29.04.26SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Qadsiah4
W
14.04.26SPL
Al Qadsiah2
Al Shabab2
D
09.04.26SPL
Damac1
Al Qadsiah1
D
05.04.26SPL
Al Ettifaq3
Al Qadsiah2
L
13.03.26SPL
Al Qadsiah3
Al Ahli SC2
W
07.03.26SPL
Al Kholood1
Al Qadsiah4
W
28.02.26SPL
Al Qadsiah1
Al Taawon1
D
23.02.26SPL
Al Qadsiah4
Al Ettifaq0
W
Al Hazem
09.05.26SPL
Al Najma2
Al Hazem2
D
02.05.26SPL
Al Hazem0
Al Hilal3
L
28.04.26SPL
Neom SC1
Al Hazem1
D
24.04.26SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Riyadh1
W
11.04.26SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Fayha0
W
03.04.26SPL
Al Ittihad1
Al Hazem0
L
12.03.26SPL
Al Hazem2
Al Kholood1
W
06.03.26SPL
Al Khaleej2
Al Hazem1
L
27.02.26SPL
Al Hazem3
Al Ettifaq1
W
24.02.26SPL
Al Hazem1
Al Ittihad1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Saudi Professional League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.19 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Qadsiah vs Al Hazem?
Our selection is 1 — Al Qadsiah to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Al Qadsiah's current form?
Al Qadsiah have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Hazem been performing recently?
Al Hazem have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Qadsiah lead with 4 wins versus Al Hazem's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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