LOST Tip LOST FC Gomel 2-3 Baranovici
F

FC Gomel

Home
W D W W W
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
2-3
B
Baranovici
Away
D D L L L
0W 3D 7L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 14th May 2026
1
Backing FC Gomel to win
FC Gomel 50%
Draw 30%
Baranovici 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — FC Gomel to win
1.37
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
FC Gomel vs Baranovici Competition: Belarus Vysshaya Liga Date: Thursday, 14th May 2026 Pick: 1 (FC Gomel to win) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 66% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
4
FC Gomel
0
Draws
0
Baranovici
4
Meetings
4.8
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip FC Gomel won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
FC Gomel
Metric
Baranovici
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.9
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate
60%
0%
2.7
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
F0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 1.9%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 13.1%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 3.7%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 12.8%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 8.3%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 4.1%
4-1 3.0%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(13.1%) 2-0(12.8%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
FC Gomel Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Baranovici Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
FC Gomel
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.0
Defence
7.0
Baranovici
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 39%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 36%
Home Win & Under 2.5 36%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.09.16PL
Baranovici0
FC Gomel6
15.05.16PL
FC Gomel4
Baranovici1
14.08.10PL
FC Gomel5
Baranovici1
25.04.10PL
Baranovici0
FC Gomel2
Recent Form
FC Gomel
08.05.26VL
FC Gomel2
Isloch0
W
02.05.26VL
FC Gomel1
Zhodino1
D
26.04.26VL
Belshina0
FC Gomel2
W
19.04.26VL
FC Gomel3
Slavia Mozyr1
W
10.04.26VL
Naftan0
FC Gomel2
W
05.04.26VL
FC Minsk2
FC Gomel0
L
20.03.26VL
Vitebsk1
FC Gomel1
D
13.03.26CF
FC Gomel3
BumProm Gomel1
W
07.03.26CF
FC Gomel2
Iskra Smolensk1
W
28.02.26CF
FC Gomel4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
W
Baranovici
08.05.26VL
Baranovici1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
D
02.05.26VL
Dnepr Mogilev0
Baranovici0
D
25.04.26VL
Baranovici2
Din. Minsk3
L
18.04.26VL
Dynamo Brest3
Baranovici0
L
11.04.26VL
Baranovici0
ML Vitebsk4
L
05.04.26VL
BATE3
Baranovici0
L
22.03.26VL
Isloch2
Baranovici0
L
07.03.26CF
Neman0
Baranovici0
D
04.03.26CF
Baranovici1
Niva Dolbizno2
L
28.02.26CF
Din. Minsk3
Baranovici2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Belarus Vysshaya Liga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.37 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for FC Gomel vs Baranovici?
Our selection is 1 — FC Gomel to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is FC Gomel's current form?
FC Gomel have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Baranovici been performing recently?
Baranovici have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Gomel lead with 4 wins versus Baranovici's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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