Strong Signal 68% Confidence
A

Al Quwa

Home
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L → Steady
VS
A
Al Karkh
Away
D L W W W
4W 3D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 26th March 2026
1
Backing Al Quwa to win
Al Quwa 50%
Draw 30%
Al Karkh 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 63.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.3% Value detected
Kelly % 11.9% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
7
Al Quwa
2
Draws
1
Al Karkh
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Quwa won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Quwa
Metric
Al Karkh
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0.8
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
10-0-0
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
100%
40%
2.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 14.2%
1-1 12.8%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.6%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.2%) 2-0(9.6%) 2-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Quwa Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al Karkh Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Quwa
Overall
10.0
Scoring
6.3
Defence
8.3
Al Karkh
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 36%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 39%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.09.25
SL: Al Karkh0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
14.03.25
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya0
Al Karkh1
30.10.24
SL: Al Karkh1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
05.05.24
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
Al Karkh0
11.11.23
SL: Al Karkh0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
05.07.23
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Karkh1
10.02.23
SL: Al Karkh1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
02.03.22
SL: Al Karkh1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
20.10.21
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
Al Karkh0
23.06.21
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya3
Al Karkh2
Recent Form
Al Quwa
17.03.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya3
Amanat Baghdad1
W
13.03.26
SL: Diyala0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
W
06.03.26
SL: Al Gharraf1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
W
28.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Najaf0
W
20.02.26
SL: Al Talaba1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
W
13.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Newroz1
W
06.02.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Naft Missan1
W
01.02.26
SL: Al Mosul0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya1
W
28.01.26
SL: Al Kahraba0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
W
22.01.26
SL: Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al-Qassim0
W
Al Karkh
18.03.26
SL: Al Karkh1
Naft Missan1
D
14.03.26
SL: Al Karkh0
Duhok1
L
06.03.26
SL: Al Naft0
Al Karkh1
W
28.02.26
SL: Al-Qassim0
Al Karkh3
W
21.02.26
SL: Al Karkh3
Al Zawraa1
W
13.02.26
SL: Al Karkh0
Al Talaba2
L
04.02.26
SL: Diyala1
Al Karkh0
L
31.01.26
SL: Al-Karma1
Al Karkh1
D
27.01.26
SL: Al Karkh1
Erbil1
D
22.01.26
SL: Al Karkh3
Newroz0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Al Quwa host Al Karkh in Iraq Stars League. We recommend Al Quwa to win as the standout selection.

Al Quwa arrive in strong form, having recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Karkh are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 3D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Quwa, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Al Karkh's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al quwa to win at odds of 1.57 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Iraq Stars League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.57 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Quwa vs Al Karkh?
Our selection is 1 — Al Quwa to win, priced at approximately 1.57. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Al Quwa's current form?
Al Quwa have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Karkh been performing recently?
Al Karkh have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Quwa lead with 7 wins versus Al Karkh's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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