Moderate Signal 55% Confidence
I

Ireland U21

Home
L L D W W
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
M
Moldova U21
Away
D L L L L
1W 2D 7L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 26th March 2026
1
Backing Ireland U21 to win
Ireland U21 50%
Draw 30%
Moldova U21 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -24.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ireland U21 to win
1.26
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21 Competition: Euro U21 Qualification Date: Thursday, 26th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Ireland U21 to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 55% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Ireland U21
0
Draws
0
Moldova U21
1
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ireland U21 won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ireland U21
Metric
Moldova U21
1.1
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-2-4
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
40%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
I0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 5.1%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
I1
1-0 10.2%
1-1 12.3%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
I2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.1%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
I3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.2%) 2-1(8.9%) 2-0(7.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip I=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ireland U21 Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Moldova U21 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ireland U21
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
Moldova U21
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 16%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 15%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 7%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.09.25
EUR: Moldova U211
Ireland U212
Recent Form
Ireland U21
18.11.25
EUR: Andorra U214
Ireland U210
L
14.11.25
EUR: England U212
Ireland U210
L
10.10.25
EUR: Ireland U212
Slovakia U212
D
09.09.25
EUR: Ireland U211
Andorra U210
W
04.09.25
EUR: Moldova U211
Ireland U212
W
10.06.25
FI: Ireland U210
Qatar U230
D
06.06.25
FI: Croatia U211
Ireland U210
L
24.03.25
FI: Hungary U211
Ireland U213
W
21.03.25
FI: Ireland U210
Scotland U212
L
17.11.24
FI: Ireland U213
Sweden U212
W
Moldova U21
17.11.25
EUR: Kazakhstan U211
Moldova U211
D
13.11.25
FI: Moldova U210
Albania U211
L
14.10.25
EUR: Slovakia U212
Moldova U210
L
10.10.25
EUR: Moldova U210
England U214
L
09.09.25
EUR: Moldova U212
Slovakia U213
L
04.09.25
EUR: Moldova U211
Ireland U212
L
10.06.25
EUR: Moldova U213
Andorra U210
W
25.03.25
FI: Moldova U211
Kosovo U212
L
22.03.25
FI: Moldova U210
Azerbaijan U212
L
20.03.25
FI: Moldova U211
Northern Ireland U211
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Ireland U21 host Moldova U21 in Euro U21 Qualification. We recommend Ireland U21 to win as the standout selection.

Ireland U21 arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Moldova U21 are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ireland U21, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Moldova U21's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ireland u21 to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Euro U21 Qualification fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.26 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21?
Our selection is 1 — Ireland U21 to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Ireland U21's current form?
Ireland U21 have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Moldova U21 been performing recently?
Moldova U21 have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ireland U21 lead with 1 wins versus Moldova U21's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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