Moderate Signal 50% Confidence
D

Denmark

Home
L D W W W
6W 2D 2L → Steady
VS
N
North Macedonia
Away
L D D D W
3W 5D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 26th March 2026
1
Backing Denmark to win
Denmark 50%
Draw 30%
North Macedonia 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -28.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Denmark
1
Draws
1
North Macedonia
3
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Denmark won 1 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Denmark
Metric
North Macedonia
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.2
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
D0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 7.4%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
D2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
D3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
D4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(7.4%) 2-0(7.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Denmark Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
North Macedonia Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Denmark
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
5.7
North Macedonia
Overall
4.5
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 29%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.02.13
FI: North Macedonia3
Denmark0
25.04.95
EUR: Denmark1
North Macedonia0
06.09.94
EUR: North Macedonia1
Denmark1
Recent Form
Denmark
18.11.25
WCQ: Scotland4
Denmark2
L
15.11.25
WCQ: Denmark2
Belarus2
D
12.10.25
WCQ: Denmark3
Greece1
W
09.10.25
WCQ: Belarus0
Denmark6
W
08.09.25
WCQ: Greece0
Denmark3
W
05.09.25
WCQ: Denmark0
Scotland0
D
10.06.25
FI: Denmark5
Lithuania0
W
07.06.25
FI: Denmark2
Northern Ireland1
W
23.03.25
UNL: Portugal5
Denmark2
L
20.03.25
UNL: Denmark1
Portugal0
W
North Macedonia
18.11.25
WCQ: Wales7
North Macedonia1
L
13.11.25
FI: North Macedonia0
Latvia0
D
13.10.25
WCQ: North Macedonia1
Kazakhstan1
D
10.10.25
WCQ: Belgium0
North Macedonia0
D
07.09.25
WCQ: North Macedonia5
Liechtenstein0
W
04.09.25
FI: Saudi Arabia2
North Macedonia1
L
09.06.25
WCQ: Kazakhstan0
North Macedonia1
W
06.06.25
WCQ: North Macedonia1
Belgium1
D
25.03.25
WCQ: North Macedonia1
Wales1
D
22.03.25
WCQ: Liechtenstein0
North Macedonia3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 26th March 2026, Denmark host North Macedonia in Euro World Cup Qualifier. We recommend Denmark to win as the standout selection.

Denmark arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

North Macedonia are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 5D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Denmark, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to North Macedonia's 1, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: denmark to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Euro World Cup Qualifier fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.28 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Denmark vs North Macedonia?
Our selection is 1 — Denmark to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Denmark's current form?
Denmark have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has North Macedonia been performing recently?
North Macedonia have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Denmark lead with 1 wins versus North Macedonia's 1, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
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