WON Tip WON Azam 1-0 Namungo
A

Azam

Home
W W W D D
5W 5D 0L → Steady
VS
1-0
N
Namungo
Away
D L L D L
0W 4D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 5th May 2026
1
Backing Azam to win
Azam 50%
Draw 30%
Namungo 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 84% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -31% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Azam to win
1.19
BTTS — No70% Azam Clean Sheet90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Azam vs Namungo Competition: Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Date: Tuesday, 5th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Azam to win) Odds: 1.19 Confidence: 53% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: Azam Clean Sheet (90%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Azam
2
Draws
2
Namungo
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Azam won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Azam
Metric
Namungo
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
90%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-5-0
W — D — L
0-4-6
Win Rate
50%
0%
2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0 14.2%
0-1 5.7%
0-2 1.1%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 22.1%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 1.8%
1-3 0.2%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
A2
2-0 17.1%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 1.4%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
A3
3-0 8.8%
3-1 3.5%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(22.1%) 2-0(17.1%) 3-0(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Azam Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Namungo Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Azam
Overall
6.5
Scoring
5.0
Defence
9.7
Namungo
Overall
1.2
Scoring
2.3
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 33%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 28%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.11.25LKB
Namungo1
Azam1
27.02.25LKB
Azam1
Namungo1
03.10.24LKB
Namungo0
Azam1
03.05.24FAC
Azam4
Namungo1
14.04.24LKB
Namungo0
Azam2
27.10.23LKB
Azam1
Namungo3
14.05.23LKB
Azam1
Namungo2
20.11.22LKB
Namungo0
Azam1
16.03.22LKB
Namungo1
Azam2
06.01.22CF
Azam1
Namungo0
Recent Form
Azam
02.05.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar0
Azam3
W
17.04.26LKB
Azam3
JKT Tanzania0
W
12.04.26FAC
Azam4
Fountain Gate0
W
09.04.26LKB
Mbeya City0
Azam0
D
05.04.26LKB
Azam0
Simba0
D
01.04.26LKB
Singida Black Stars1
Azam2
W
19.03.26LKB
Mashujaa0
Azam0
D
15.03.26LKB
Azam0
Young Africans0
D
11.03.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Azam3
W
05.03.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons0
Azam0
D
Namungo
01.05.26LKB
Dodoma Jiji0
Namungo0
D
19.04.26LKB
Namungo1
Simba3
L
12.04.26FAC
Namungo0
TRA United2
L
04.04.26LKB
Namungo2
JKT Tanzania2
D
11.03.26LKB
TRA United2
Namungo0
L
26.02.26LKB
Namungo1
Singida Black Stars1
D
22.02.26LKB
Namungo0
Young Africans1
L
14.02.26LKB
Tanzania Prisons3
Namungo2
L
10.02.26LKB
Pamba1
Namungo0
L
07.02.26LKB
Mtibwa Sugar1
Namungo1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 5th May 2026, Azam host Namungo in Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara. We recommend Azam to win as the standout selection.

Azam arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Namungo are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 4D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Azam, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Namungo's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: azam to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.19 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Azam vs Namungo?
Our selection is 1 — Azam to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Azam's current form?
Azam have won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Namungo been performing recently?
Namungo have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Azam lead with 6 wins versus Namungo's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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