WON Tip WON Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
M

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Home
L W W W W
4W 1D 5L → Steady
VS
4-0
H
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Away
L L L L D
5W 2D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 5th May 2026
1
Backing Maccabi Tel Aviv to win
Maccabi Tel Aviv 50%
Draw 30%
Hapoel Petah Tikva 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2
Draws
0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Maccabi Tel Aviv won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Metric
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.6
Goals For / Game
1
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-1-5
W — D — L
5-2-3
Win Rate
40%
50%
2.8
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
M0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 8.8%
0-2 6.4%
0-3 3.1%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.3%
M1
1-0 8.2%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 8.6%
1-3 4.2%
1-4 1.5%
1-5 0.4%
M2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 8.0%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
M3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 3.6%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(8.2%) 2-1(8.0%) 2-0(5.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Maccabi Tel Aviv Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Hapoel Petah Tikva Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.3
Defence
3.7
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Overall
5.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 29%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
15.12.25LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
16.09.25LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
21.01.24LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
30.09.23LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
16.03.15LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
13.12.14LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
17.09.14TOT
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
10.09.14TOT
Maccabi Tel Aviv6
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
17.12.11LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
21.08.11LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Recent Form
Maccabi Tel Aviv
02.05.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
L
28.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
W
25.04.26LH
Maccabi Haifa1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
W
19.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
W
15.04.26SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa2
W
12.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva3
L
05.04.26LH
Hapoel Haifa1
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
W
21.02.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
SC Ashdod2
W
16.02.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem0
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
D
09.02.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Maccabi Bnei Raina0
W
Hapoel Petah Tikva
02.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Haifa2
L
28.04.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem3
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
L
25.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
L
18.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva3
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
L
11.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
D
04.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
D
26.03.26CF
SC Ashdod1
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
W
21.02.26LH
Maccabi Haifa0
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
W
14.02.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Haifa1
L
07.02.26LH
Sakhnin1
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 5th May 2026, Maccabi Tel Aviv host Hapoel Petah Tikva in Israel Ligat Ha'al. We recommend Maccabi Tel Aviv to win as the standout selection.

Maccabi Tel Aviv arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hapoel Petah Tikva are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 2D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Maccabi Tel Aviv, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: maccabi tel aviv to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Israel Ligat Ha’al fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.40 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Our selection is 1 — Maccabi Tel Aviv to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Maccabi Tel Aviv's current form?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hapoel Petah Tikva been performing recently?
Hapoel Petah Tikva have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Maccabi Tel Aviv lead with 8 wins versus Hapoel Petah Tikva's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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