WON Tip WON Beer Sheva 3-2 Bnei Yehuda
B

Beer Sheva

Home
D D W W W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
3-2
B
Bnei Yehuda
Away
W D W W D
7W 3D 0L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 9th April 2026
1
Backing Beer Sheva to win
Beer Sheva 50%
Draw 20%
Bnei Yehuda 30%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 3.33
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -26.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Beer Sheva
2
Draws
2
Bnei Yehuda
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Beer Sheva won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Beer Sheva
Metric
Bnei Yehuda
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.8
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-3-1
W — D — L
7-3-0
Win Rate
60%
70%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
B0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 10.4%
0-2 6.2%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
B1
1-0 10.8%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 7.8%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
B2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 8.1%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.9%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.8%) 2-1(8.1%) 2-0(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip B=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Beer Sheva Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Bnei Yehuda Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Beer Sheva
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
7.0
Bnei Yehuda
Overall
7.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 17%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
20.03.21
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Bnei Yehuda0
27.12.20
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda0
Hapoel Beer Sheva2
10.06.20
State Cup: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Bnei Yehuda1
15.02.20
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda0
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
30.11.19
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Bnei Yehuda2
11.05.19
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda2
Hapoel Beer Sheva3
06.04.19
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Bnei Yehuda1
06.01.19
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda3
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
24.09.18
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva0
Bnei Yehuda0
28.04.18
Premier League: Bnei Yehuda1
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Recent Form
Beer Sheva
04.04.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
D
22.02.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Haifa1
D
14.02.26
Premier League: SC Ashdod1
Hapoel Beer Sheva2
W
09.02.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Beitar Jerusalem1
W
04.02.26
State Cup: Maccabi Bnei Raina0
Hapoel Beer Sheva3
W
31.01.26
Premier League: Maccabi Bnei Raina0
Hapoel Beer Sheva2
W
24.01.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva3
Kiryat Shmona2
W
19.01.26
Premier League: Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Beer Sheva1
L
13.01.26
State Cup: Hapoel Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Jerusalem1
W
10.01.26
Premier League: Hapoel Beer Sheva0
Maccabi Haifa0
D
Bnei Yehuda
03.04.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda1
Hapoel Ra’anana0
W
31.03.26
Liga Leumit: Hapoel Nof HaGalil1
Bnei Yehuda1
D
27.03.26
Liga Leumit: Hapoel Afula0
Bnei Yehuda1
W
27.02.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda1
Ironi Modiin0
W
23.02.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda1
Maccabi Petah Tikva1
D
16.02.26
Liga Leumit: Maccabi Jaffa4
Bnei Yehuda4
D
09.02.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda2
Hapoel Akko1
W
04.02.26
State Cup: Beitar Jerusalem1
Bnei Yehuda2
W
30.01.26
Liga Leumit: Hapoel Hadera0
Bnei Yehuda1
W
23.01.26
Liga Leumit: Bnei Yehuda1
MS Kafr Qasim0
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, Beer Sheva host Bnei Yehuda in Israel State Cup. We recommend Beer Sheva to win as the standout selection.

Beer Sheva arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bnei Yehuda are travelling well, with a record of 7W 3D 0L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Beer Sheva, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Bnei Yehuda's 2, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: beer sheva to win at odds of 1.21 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Israel State Cup fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.21 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Beer Sheva vs Bnei Yehuda?
Our selection is 1 — Beer Sheva to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Beer Sheva's current form?
Beer Sheva have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bnei Yehuda been performing recently?
Bnei Yehuda have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Beer Sheva lead with 6 wins versus Bnei Yehuda's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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