LOST Tip LOST Damac 1-1 Al Qadsiah
D

Damac

Home
L W W D L
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
1-1
A
Al Qadsiah
Away
L W W D W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 9th April 2026
2
Backing Al Qadsiah to win
Damac 30%
Draw 20%
Al Qadsiah 50%
H Fair Odds 3.33
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 71.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Al Qadsiah to win
1.39
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Damac vs Al Qadsiah Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Thursday, 9th April 2026 Pick: 2 (Al Qadsiah to win) Odds: 1.39 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Damac
2
Draws
2
Al Qadsiah
5
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Al Qadsiah won 2 of 5 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Damac
Metric
Al Qadsiah
1
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-2-5
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
30%
60%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
D0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 9.0%
0-3 5.7%
0-4 2.7%
0-5 1.0%
D1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.3%
1-4 3.0%
1-5 1.1%
D2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 5.7%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
D3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 2.1%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
D4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.9%) 0-1(9.5%) 0-2(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Damac Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
Al Qadsiah Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Damac
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
Al Qadsiah
Overall
6.9
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 31%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.12.25
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah1
Damac FC1
14.03.25
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC1
Al Qadsiah0
25.10.24
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah2
Damac FC1
06.02.21
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC2
Al Qadsiah2
23.10.20
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah2
Damac FC1
Recent Form
Damac
04.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ahli Saudi3
Damac FC0
L
12.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Najma1
Damac FC3
W
05.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC3
Al-Riyadh0
W
26.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Fateh1
Damac FC1
D
23.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC0
Al-Ahli Saudi1
L
20.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC1
Al Shabab3
L
12.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC2
Al-Taawoun1
W
06.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ettifaq2
Damac FC0
L
03.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Damac FC0
Al-Kholood0
D
30.01.26
Saudi Pro League: NEOM SC3
Damac FC0
L
Al Qadsiah
05.04.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Ettifaq3
Al Qadsiah2
L
13.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah3
Al-Ahli Saudi2
W
07.03.26
Saudi Pro League: Al-Kholood1
Al Qadsiah4
W
28.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah1
Al-Taawoun1
D
23.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah4
Al-Ettifaq0
W
20.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Okhdood2
Al Qadsiah4
W
12.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah1
NEOM SC0
W
07.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah1
Al Fateh1
D
03.02.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Khaleej0
Al Qadsiah1
W
29.01.26
Saudi Pro League: Al Qadsiah2
Al Hilal2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 9th April 2026, Damac host Al Qadsiah in Saudi Professional League. We recommend Al Qadsiah to win as the standout selection.

Damac arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al Qadsiah are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Damac, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Al Qadsiah's 2, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al qadsiah to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Saudi Professional League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.39 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Damac vs Al Qadsiah?
Our selection is 2 — Al Qadsiah to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Damac's current form?
Damac have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Qadsiah been performing recently?
Al Qadsiah have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Damac lead with 1 wins versus Al Qadsiah's 2, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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