Moderate Signal 59% Confidence
C

Cavalry

Home
D L W W W
7W 1D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
8:00 pm
ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB)
H
HFX Wanderers
Away
W L W L L
3W 1D 6L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 18th July 2026
1
Backing Cavalry to win
Cavalry 50%
Draw 30%
HFX Wanderers 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Cavalry
3
Draws
1
HFX Wanderers
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Cavalry won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Cavalry
Metric
HFX Wanderers
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
C0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.7%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Cavalry Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
HFX Wanderers Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Cavalry
Overall
7.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.3
HFX Wanderers
Overall
3.3
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
13.09.25CPL
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers1
09.08.25CPL
Cavalry0
HFX Wanderers0
14.06.25CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry1
10.05.25CPL
HFX Wanderers0
Cavalry3
13.10.24CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers1
10.08.24CPL
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers2
01.07.24CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry0
11.05.24CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry1
12.09.23CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Cavalry2
Recent Form
Cavalry
14.07.26CHA
Cavalry1
Vancouver Whitecaps1
D
09.07.26CHA
Vancouver Whitecaps4
Cavalry1
L
04.07.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa0
Cavalry3
W
11.06.26CPL
Inter Toronto1
Cavalry5
W
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
W
31.05.26CPL
Forge1
Cavalry0
L
24.05.26CPL
Cavalry3
Pacific FC0
W
18.05.26CPL
Vancouver FC0
Cavalry2
W
10.05.26CHA
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
W
03.05.26CPL
Supra du Quebec0
Cavalry1
W
HFX Wanderers
05.07.26CPL
Pacific FC1
HFX Wanderers2
W
01.07.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Atl. Ottawa3
L
26.06.26CPL
HFX Wanderers5
Pacific FC2
W
11.06.26CPL
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
L
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
L
30.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Vancouver FC0
W
23.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Inter Toronto1
D
17.05.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa1
HFX Wanderers0
L
09.05.26CHA
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
L
02.05.26CPL
HFX Wanderers1
Forge3
L
Cavalry (Home)
14.07.26CHA
Cavalry1
Vancouver Whitecaps1
D
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
W
24.05.26CPL
Cavalry3
Pacific FC0
W
25.04.26CPL
Cavalry1
Inter Toronto1
D
12.04.26CPL
Cavalry3
Atl. Ottawa1
W
26.10.25CPL
Cavalry4
Inter Toronto1
W
11.10.25CPL
Cavalry1
Forge1
D
20.09.25CPL
Cavalry3
Valour0
W
13.09.25CPL
Cavalry3
HFX Wanderers1
W
30.08.25CPL
Cavalry4
Forge1
W
HFX Wanderers (Away)
05.07.26CPL
Pacific FC1
HFX Wanderers2
W
11.06.26CPL
Forge1
HFX Wanderers0
L
07.06.26CPL
Cavalry2
HFX Wanderers0
L
17.05.26CPL
Atl. Ottawa1
HFX Wanderers0
L
09.05.26CHA
Forge4
HFX Wanderers0
L
25.04.26CPL
Supra du Quebec2
HFX Wanderers1
L
11.04.26CPL
Inter Toronto2
HFX Wanderers2
D
05.04.26CPL
Vancouver FC0
HFX Wanderers1
W
11.10.25CPL
Valour0
HFX Wanderers3
W
28.09.25CPL
Vancouver FC3
HFX Wanderers1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 18th July 2026, Cavalry host HFX Wanderers at ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB) in Canadian Premier League. We recommend Cavalry to win as the standout selection.

Cavalry arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

HFX Wanderers are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 1D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Cavalry, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to HFX Wanderers's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: cavalry to win at odds of 1.37 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Canadian Premier League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into ATCO Field (Foothills County, AB). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.37, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers?
Our selection is 1 — Cavalry to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Cavalry's current form?
Cavalry have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has HFX Wanderers been performing recently?
HFX Wanderers have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Cavalry lead with 6 wins versus HFX Wanderers's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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