WON Tip WON Corinthians 1-0 Barra FC
C

Corinthians

Home
W D L W W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
VS
1-0
B
Barra FC
Away
D W D L D
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 14th May 2026
1
Backing Corinthians to win
Corinthians 50%
Draw 30%
Barra FC 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Corinthians to win
1.24
Under 2.5 Goals75% BTTS — No75% Corinthians Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Corinthians vs Barra FC Competition: Copa Do Brasil Date: Thursday, 14th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Corinthians to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 62% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Corinthians Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Corinthians
0
Draws
0
Barra FC
1
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Corinthians won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Corinthians
Metric
Barra FC
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.5
Goals Against / Game
0.6
70%
Clean Sheets
50%
6-3-1
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
60%
40%
1.8
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
C0
0-0 17.4%
0-1 13.9%
0-2 5.6%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 6.3%
2-2 2.5%
2-3 0.7%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.5%) 2-0(7.8%) 2-1(6.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip C=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Corinthians Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Barra FC Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Corinthians
Overall
6.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.3
Barra FC
Overall
4.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
8.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 12%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 23%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
22.04.26COP
Barra FC0
Corinthians1
Recent Form
Corinthians
10.05.26SA
Corinthians3
Sao Paulo2
W
07.05.26COP
Santa Fe1
Corinthians1
D
04.05.26SA
Mirassol2
Corinthians1
L
01.05.26COP
Corinthians2
Penarol0
W
26.04.26SA
Corinthians1
Vasco0
W
22.04.26COP
Barra FC0
Corinthians1
W
19.04.26SA
Vitoria0
Corinthians0
D
16.04.26COP
Corinthians2
Santa Fe0
W
12.04.26SA
Corinthians0
Palmeiras0
D
10.04.26COP
Platense0
Corinthians2
W
Barra FC
10.05.26SC
Barra FC0
SER Caxias0
D
05.05.26SC
Figueirense0
Barra FC3
W
26.04.26SC
Barra FC2
Inter de Limeira2
D
22.04.26COP
Barra FC0
Corinthians1
L
18.04.26SC
Paysandu PA1
Barra FC1
D
12.04.26SC
Barra FC3
Maranhao0
W
04.04.26SC
Botafogo PB1
Barra FC0
L
20.03.26COP
Volta Redonda0
Barra FC1
W
13.03.26COP
Barra FC1
America MG0
W
08.03.26CAT
Chapecoense-SC1
Barra FC0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Copa Do Brasil fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.24 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Corinthians vs Barra FC?
Our selection is 1 — Corinthians to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Corinthians's current form?
Corinthians have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Barra FC been performing recently?
Barra FC have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Corinthians lead with 1 wins versus Barra FC's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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