WON Tip WON Fratria 3-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
F

Fratria

Home
W D L D D
3W 5D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
P
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Away
W L D L D
2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 23rd May 2026
1
Backing Fratria to win
Fratria 50%
Draw 30%
Pirin Blagoevgrad 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 80.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -46.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Fratria
2
Draws
1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3
Meetings
0.3
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Fratria won 0 of the last 3 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Fratria
Metric
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-5-2
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
30%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
F0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 4.9%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
F1
1-0 10.8%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
F2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
F3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
F4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.8%) 2-1(9.0%) 2-0(7.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip F=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Fratria Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Pirin Blagoevgrad Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Fratria
Overall
4.5
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Overall
3.2
Scoring
3.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 24%
Draw & Under 2.5 24%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.11.252L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Fratria0
15.02.252L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Fratria0
03.08.242L
Fratria0
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
Recent Form
Fratria
15.05.262L
Belasitsa0
Fratria3
W
11.05.262L
Fratria2
Dunav Ruse2
D
04.05.262L
Vihren2
Fratria1
L
26.04.262L
Fratria2
CSKA Sofia II2
D
16.04.262L
Spartak Pleven1
Fratria1
D
09.04.262L
Fratria3
Lok. Gorna0
W
28.03.262L
Fratria3
Minyor Pernik1
W
23.03.262L
Yantra Gabrovo1
Fratria1
D
15.03.262L
Ludogorets II1
Fratria1
D
08.03.262L
Fratria1
Sevlievo4
L
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15.05.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad4
Sevlievo1
W
11.05.262L
Svoge2
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
L
02.05.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Marek0
D
25.04.262L
Etar3
Pirin Blagoevgrad2
L
16.04.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad2
Hebar2
D
09.04.262L
Chernomorets 19192
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
L
04.04.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Ludogorets II0
D
29.03.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
Belasitsa0
W
21.03.262L
Dunav Ruse0
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
D
15.03.262L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Vihren1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Bulgaria Vtora Liga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.24 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Fratria vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
Our selection is 1 — Fratria to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 34%.
What is Fratria's current form?
Fratria have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Pirin Blagoevgrad been performing recently?
Pirin Blagoevgrad have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Fratria lead with 0 wins versus Pirin Blagoevgrad's 1, with 2 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.