WON Tip WON Hearts 3-0 Falkirk
H

Hearts

Home
D W W W D
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
F
Falkirk
Away
L W L L L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 13th May 2026
1
Backing Hearts to win
Hearts 50%
Draw 30%
Falkirk 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 69.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -11.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Hearts to win
1.43
BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hearts vs Falkirk Competition: Scotland Premiership Date: Wednesday, 13th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Hearts to win) Odds: 1.43 Confidence: 58% Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Hearts
0
Draws
3
Falkirk
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Hearts won 7 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hearts
Metric
Falkirk
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
H0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
H1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
H2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
H3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
H4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 1-0(7.1%) 2-0(6.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Hearts Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Falkirk Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hearts
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
Falkirk
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 36%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 21%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
21.02.26PRE
Hearts1
Falkirk0
17.01.26SC
Hearts1
Falkirk (aet)2
13.12.25PRE
Falkirk0
Hearts2
27.09.25PRE
Hearts3
Falkirk0
17.08.24LC
Falkirk2
Hearts0
08.02.20SC
Falkirk0
Hearts1
21.03.15CHA
Falkirk0
Hearts3
24.01.15CHA
Hearts2
Falkirk3
15.11.14CHA
Falkirk1
Hearts2
30.08.14CHA
Hearts4
Falkirk1
Recent Form
Hearts
09.05.26PRE
Motherwell1
Hearts1
D
04.05.26PRE
Hearts2
Rangers1
W
26.04.26PRE
Hibernian1
Hearts2
W
11.04.26PRE
Hearts3
Motherwell1
W
05.04.26PRE
Livingston2
Hearts2
D
21.03.26PRE
Hearts1
Dundee FC0
W
14.03.26PRE
Kilmarnock1
Hearts0
L
28.02.26PRE
Hearts1
Aberdeen0
W
21.02.26PRE
Hearts1
Falkirk0
W
15.02.26PRE
Rangers4
Hearts2
L
Falkirk
09.05.26PRE
Falkirk1
Hibernian3
L
02.05.26PRE
Falkirk1
Motherwell0
W
25.04.26PRE
Celtic3
Falkirk1
L
18.04.26SC
Dunfermline1
Falkirk0
L
12.04.26PRE
Falkirk3
Rangers6
L
04.04.26PRE
Motherwell2
Falkirk3
W
21.03.26PRE
Falkirk1
St. Mirren2
L
14.03.26PRE
Aberdeen1
Falkirk1
D
06.03.26SC
Falkirk2
Dundee Utd1
W
28.02.26PRE
Falkirk5
Kilmarnock1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Scotland Premiership fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.43 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hearts vs Falkirk?
Our selection is 1 — Hearts to win, priced at approximately 1.43. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Hearts's current form?
Hearts have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Falkirk been performing recently?
Falkirk have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hearts lead with 7 wins versus Falkirk's 3, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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