LOST Tip LOST Kalju 1-2 Tammeka
K

Kalju

Home
D L W W L
4W 2D 4L → Steady
VS
1-2
T
Tammeka
Away
D L W W W
3W 2D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 17th June 2026
1
Backing Kalju to win
Kalju 50%
Draw 30%
Tammeka 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Kalju
2
Draws
0
Tammeka
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Kalju won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Kalju
Metric
Tammeka
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.7
1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
40%
30%
2.3
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
K0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
K1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
K2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
K3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
K4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
K5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.5%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Kalju Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Tammeka Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Kalju
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.7
Tammeka
Overall
3.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
6.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.03.26ML
Tammeka0
Kalju1
02.11.25ML
Kalju2
Tammeka1
03.08.25ML
Tammeka1
Kalju3
10.05.25ML
Tammeka0
Kalju1
16.03.25ML
Kalju2
Tammeka2
29.09.24ML
Tammeka2
Kalju3
27.07.24ML
Kalju3
Tammeka0
28.06.24ML
Tammeka1
Kalju1
03.05.24ML
Kalju4
Tammeka2
23.09.23ML
Kalju4
Tammeka1
Recent Form
Kalju
14.06.26ML
Kalju1
Paide1
D
30.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Kalju1
L
20.05.26ML
Kalju1
Harju JK Laagri0
W
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
L
01.05.26ML
Narva0
Kalju3
W
26.04.26ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus2
L
22.04.26ML
Kalju7
Nomme Utd1
W
19.04.26ML
Paide1
Kalju0
L
12.04.26ML
Kalju1
Levadia1
D
Tammeka
13.06.26ML
Tammeka0
Parnu JK Vaprus0
D
30.05.26ML
Tammeka0
Levadia1
L
15.05.26ML
Tammeka3
Nomme Utd1
W
08.05.26ML
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
W
01.05.26ML
Paide0
Tammeka1
W
25.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri1
Tammeka0
L
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
L
18.04.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Tammeka0
D
12.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Paide4
L
07.04.26ML
Narva3
Tammeka0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Kalju host Tammeka in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Kalju to win as the standout selection.

Kalju arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Tammeka are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kalju, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Tammeka's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kalju to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.34 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kalju vs Tammeka?
Our selection is 1 — Kalju to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Kalju's current form?
Kalju have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tammeka been performing recently?
Tammeka have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Kalju lead with 8 wins versus Tammeka's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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