LOST Tip LOST Portugal 1-1 D.R. Congo
P

Portugal

Home
W W W D W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
1-1
D
D.R. Congo
Away
L D W W L
5W 3D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 17th June 2026
1
Backing Portugal to win
Portugal 50%
Draw 30%
D.R. Congo 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Portugal to win
1.36
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Portugal vs D.R. Congo Competition: World Cup 2026 Date: Wednesday, 17th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Portugal to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 58% Also: D.R. Congo Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Portugal
Metric
D.R. Congo
2.6
Goals For / Game
1.2
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.5
40%
Clean Sheets
60%
7-2-1
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
70%
50%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
P0
0-0 7.4%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 11.5%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.5%) 2-1(9.4%) 2-0(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Portugal Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
D.R. Congo Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Portugal
Overall
7.6
Scoring
8.7
Defence
7.0
D.R. Congo
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.0
Defence
8.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 10%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Portugal
10.06.26FI
Portugal2
Nigeria1
W
06.06.26FI
Portugal2
Chile1
W
01.04.26FI
USA0
Portugal2
W
29.03.26FI
Mexico0
Portugal0
D
16.11.25WC
Portugal9
Armenia1
W
13.11.25WC
Ireland2
Portugal0
L
14.10.25WC
Portugal2
Hungary2
D
11.10.25WC
Portugal1
Ireland0
W
09.09.25WC
Hungary2
Portugal3
W
06.09.25WC
Armenia0
Portugal5
W
D.R. Congo
09.06.26FI
D.R. Congo1
Chile2
L
03.06.26FI
D.R. Congo0
Denmark0
D
31.03.26WC
D.R. Congo1
Jamaica0
W
25.03.26FI
D.R. Congo2
Bermuda0
W
06.01.26ACN
Algeria1
D.R. Congo0
L
30.12.25ACN
Botswana0
D.R. Congo3
W
27.12.25ACN
D.R. Congo1
Senegal1
D
23.12.25ACN
D.R. Congo1
Benin0
W
16.12.25FI
D.R. Congo2
Zambia0
W
16.11.25WC
D.R. Congo1
Nigeria (pen 4-3)1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 17th June 2026, Portugal host D.R. Congo in World Cup 2026. We recommend Portugal to win as the standout selection.

Portugal arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

D.R. Congo are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 3D 2L across 10 matches.

Our verdict: portugal to win at odds of 1.36 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming World Cup 2026 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.36 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Portugal vs D.R. Congo?
Our selection is 1 — Portugal to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is Portugal's current form?
Portugal have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has D.R. Congo been performing recently?
D.R. Congo have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.
⚠️
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