WON Tip WON Kampala City 3-0 Express

Kampala City

Home

W W W L L

3W 0D 2L ▼ Declining

3-0

Express

Away

D D D D D

0W 5D 0L → Steady

Kampala City 50%

Draw 30%

Express 20%

H Fair Odds 2

D Fair Odds 3.33

A Fair Odds 5

Implied Prob 80% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -24% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Kampala City to win

1.25

Under 2.5 Goals70% Express Clean Sheet80%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

Kampala City vs Express Competition: Uganda Premier League Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Kampala City to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 56% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Express Clean Sheet (80%)

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Head to Head

Record

Kampala City

Draws

Express

Meetings

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

60%

Over 2.5

Supports Tip Kampala City won 3 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Kampala City

Metric

Express

1.4

Goals For / Game

0.2

1.2

Goals Against / Game

0.2

20%

Clean Sheets

80%

3-0-2

W — D — L

0-5-0

Win Rate

60%

1.5

Avg Goals

50%

Over 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 22.3%

0-1 15.6%

0-2 5.5%

0-3 1.3%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 17.9%

1-1 12.5%

1-2 4.4%

1-3 1.0%

1-4 0.2%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 7.1%

2-1 5.0%

2-2 1.8%

2-3 0.4%

2-4 0.1%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 1.9%

3-1 1.3%

3-2 0.5%

3-3 0.1%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.4%

4-1 0.3%

4-2 0.1%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.1%

5-1 0.0%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(17.9%) 2-0(7.1%) 2-1(5.0%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓ E=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Kampala City Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Express Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Kampala City

Overall

6.0 —

Scoring

4.7 —

Defence

6.0 —

Express

Overall

3.0 —

Scoring

0.7 —

Defence

9.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%

Home Win & BTTS No 33%

Draw & BTTS Yes 18%

Draw & BTTS No 27%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 17%

Home Win & Under 2.5 39%

Draw & Over 2.5 14%

Draw & Under 2.5 32%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ The most recent encounter saw Kampala City reaffirm their ascendancy in a tight PL battle on 23.10.25, clinching a crucial victory: Express0

Kampala City.1

⚽ Earlier in the PL season on 24.05.25, Kampala City delivered a dominant performance, showcasing their attacking prowess with a resounding win: Express0

Kampala City.3

⚽ Express proved their resilience with a gritty away win in the PL on 07.12.24, snatching three points on Kampala City’s turf: Kampala City0

Express.1

⚽ A memorable seven-goal thriller unfolded in the PL on 10.02.24, with Kampala City narrowly emerging victorious in a captivating clash: Express3

Kampala City.4

⚽ Express began this sequence of intense encounters with an impressive PL away victory on 08.10.23, setting the tone for a competitive rivalry: Kampala City1

Express.2

Recent Form

Kampala City

⚽ PL (06.03.26): Kampala City2

Police1

⚽ PL (02.03.26): Buhimba0

Kampala City2

⚽ PL (18.02.26): Kampala City2

BUL1

⚽ PL (13.02.26): NEC FC3

Kampala City1

⚽ PL (30.01.26): Kampala City0

Entebbe UPPC1

Express

⚽ PL (07.03.26): Villa0

Express0

⚽ PL (04.03.26): Express1

Maroons1

⚽ PL (18.02.26): Calvary0

Express0

⚽ PL (14.02.26): Express0

Entebbe UPPC0

⚽ PL (31.01.26): NEC FC0

Express0

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Kampala City vs Express?

Our selection is 1 — Kampala City to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Kampala City's current form?

Kampala City have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

How has Express been performing recently?

Express have recorded 0 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Kampala City lead with 3 wins versus Express's 2, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

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