WON Tip WON UPDF 1-2 Vipers

UPDF

Home

D L L D L

0W 2D 3L → Steady

1-2

Vipers

Away

W W D D W

3W 2D 0L ▼ Declining

UPDF 20%

Draw 30%

Vipers 50%

H Fair Odds 5

D Fair Odds 3.33

A Fair Odds 2

Implied Prob 70.9% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -4.9% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

2 — Vipers to win

1.41

Under 2.5 Goals70%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

UPDF vs Vipers Competition: Uganda Premier League Date: Wednesday, 11th March 2026 Pick: 2 (Vipers to win) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 66% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)

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Head to Head

Record

UPDF

Draws

Vipers

Meetings

2.4

Avg Goals

40%

BTTS

40%

Over 2.5

Supports Tip Vipers won 5 of 5 meetings.

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Stats Duel

Comparison

UPDF

Metric

Vipers

0.2

Goals For / Game

2.2

0.8

Goals Against / Game

0.6

20%

Clean Sheets

40%

0-2-3

W — D — L

3-2-0

Win Rate

60%

1.9

Avg Goals

60%

Over 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 15.0%

0-1 22.4%

0-2 16.8%

0-3 8.4%

0-4 3.2%

0-5 1.0%

1-0 6.0%

1-1 9.0%

1-2 6.7%

1-3 3.4%

1-4 1.3%

1-5 0.4%

2-0 1.2%

2-1 1.8%

2-2 1.4%

2-3 0.7%

2-4 0.3%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 0.2%

3-1 0.2%

3-2 0.2%

3-3 0.1%

3-4 0.0%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 0.0%

4-1 0.0%

4-2 0.0%

4-3 0.0%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.0%

5-1 0.0%

5-2 0.0%

5-3 0.0%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 0-1(22.4%) 0-2(16.8%) 0-3(8.4%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip U=Home goals ↓ V=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

UPDF Win

20%

Draw

30%

3.33

Vipers Win

50%

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

UPDF

Overall

1.2 —

Scoring

0.7 —

Defence

7.3 —

Vipers

Overall

7.2 —

Scoring

7.3 —

Defence

8.0 —

🔀

Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Home Win & BTTS No 0%

Draw & BTTS Yes 16%

Draw & BTTS No 24%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%

Away Win & BTTS No 36%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 0%

Home Win & Under 2.5 0%

Draw & Over 2.5 12%

Draw & Under 2.5 28%

Away Win & Over 2.5 18%

Away Win & Under 2.5 42%

🧮

Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

📜

Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ PL (02.12.25): Vipers5

UPDF1

⚽ PL (29.04.25): Vipers1

UPDF0

⚽ PL (03.01.25): UPDF0

Vipers1

⚽ PL (05.04.24): Vipers2

UPDF1

⚽ PL (03.12.23): UPDF0

Vipers1

Recent Form

UPDF

⚽ PL (06.03.26): UPDF1

Kitara1

⚽ PL (03.03.26): NEC FC1

UPDF0

⚽ PL (18.02.26): Lugazi1

UPDF0

⚽ PL (13.02.26): UPDF0

Buhimba0

⚽ PL (30.01.26): UPDF0

BUL1

Vipers

⚽ PL (07.03.26): Vipers clinched a gritty2

away victory against Mbarara City.1

⚽ PL (03.03.26): Vipers showcased their dominance with a commanding3

home win over Lugazi.0

⚽ PL (17.02.26): Vipers settled for a hard-fought1

draw at home against NEC FC.1

⚽ PL (13.02.26): Vipers secured a valuable away point in a1

stalemate with BUL.1

⚽ PL (30.01.26): Vipers delivered a sensational4

thrashing to Buhimba on home turf.0

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for UPDF vs Vipers?

Our selection is 2 — Vipers to win, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 66%.

What is UPDF's current form?

UPDF have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

How has Vipers been performing recently?

Vipers have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

UPDF lead with 0 wins versus Vipers's 5, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.

🔗

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