WON Tip WON Larne 2-0 Cliftonville
L

Larne

Home
W W W W D
3W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
C
Cliftonville
Away
D L L W W
5W 1D 4L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 28th March 2026
1
Backing Larne to win
Larne 50%
Draw 20%
Cliftonville 30%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 3.33
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Larne to win
1.38
BTTS — No68%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Larne vs Cliftonville Competition: NIFL Premiership Date: Saturday, 28th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Larne to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 53% Also: BTTS — No (68%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Larne
3
Draws
1
Cliftonville
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Larne won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Larne
Metric
Cliftonville
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-2-1
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
50%
50%
3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
44%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
L0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.7%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Larne Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
5
Cliftonville Win
30%
3.33
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Larne
Overall
6.0
Scoring
7.2
Defence
8.3
Cliftonville
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 24%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.12.25
NIFL: Larne0
Cliftonville0
18.10.25
NIFL: Cliftonville0
Larne2
19.08.25
NIFL: Cliftonville1
Larne1
14.01.25
CUP: Larne0
Cliftonville1
10.01.25
NIFL: Larne2
Cliftonville0
01.12.24
NIFL: Larne1
Cliftonville1
27.09.24
NIFL: Cliftonville1
Larne3
05.07.24
CHA: Larne2
Cliftonville1
13.04.24
NIFL: Larne8
Cliftonville1
02.04.24
NIFL: Cliftonville0
Larne2
Recent Form
Larne
30.12.25
NIFL: Larne0
Cliftonville0
18.10.25
NIFL: Cliftonville0
Larne2
19.08.25
NIFL: Cliftonville1
Larne1
14.01.25
CUP: Larne0
Cliftonville1
10.01.25
NIFL: Larne2
Cliftonville0
13.04.24
NIFL: Larne8
Cliftonville1
Cliftonville
21.03.26
NIFL: Cliftonville2
Ballymena2
D
18.03.26
NIFL: Glentoran3
Cliftonville0
L
14.03.26
NIFL: Coleraine1
Cliftonville0
L
10.03.26
NIFL: Crusaders0
Cliftonville1
W
07.03.26
CUP: Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
W
04.03.26
NIFL: Portadown0
Cliftonville2
W
01.03.26
NIFL: Cliftonville2
Linfield0
W
24.02.26
NIFL: Cliftonville0
Glentoran4
L
21.02.26
NIFL: Cliftonville5
Crusaders2
W
13.02.26
NIFL: Dungannon Swifts3
Cliftonville2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming NIFL Premiership fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.38 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Larne vs Cliftonville?
Our selection is 1 — Larne to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Larne's current form?
Larne have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches.
How has Cliftonville been performing recently?
Cliftonville have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Larne lead with 6 wins versus Cliftonville's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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