WON Tip WON York City 1-0 Woking
Y

York City

Home
L W W W L
8W 0D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
1-0
W
Woking
Away
D W W W D
4W 3D 3L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 28th March 2026
1
Backing York City to win
York City 50%
Draw 30%
Woking 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — York City to win
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
York City vs Woking Competition: National League Date: Saturday, 28th March 2026 Pick: 1 (York City to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
7
York City
3
Draws
0
Woking
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip York City won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
York City
Metric
Woking
2.7
Goals For / Game
1.7
1
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-0-2
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
80%
40%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
W0
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
Y0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.3%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
Y1
1-0 6.7%
1-1 9.0%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.3%
Y2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
Y3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
Y4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
Y5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(7.0%) 1-0(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Y=Home goals ↓   W=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
York City Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Woking Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
York City
Overall
8.0
Scoring
9.0
Defence
6.7
Woking
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 47%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.08.25
NL: Woking1
York City1
08.02.25
NL: York City3
Woking0
05.10.24
NL: Woking1
York City1
13.04.24
NL: York City2
Woking0
23.09.23
NL: Woking1
York City2
10.12.22
NL: Woking0
York City2
06.08.22
NL: York City2
Woking0
22.04.17
NL: Woking1
York City1
27.08.16
NL: York City4
Woking1
11.10.08
NL: Woking0
York City2
Recent Form
York City
24.03.26
NL: Gateshead3
York City1
L
21.03.26
NL: York City4
Brackley Town0
W
14.03.26
NL: Aldershot Town0
York City3
W
07.03.26
NL: York City3
Eastleigh1
W
03.03.26
NL: Boreham Wood3
York City2
L
28.02.26
NL: Morecambe0
York City1
W
24.02.26
NL: Scunthorpe0
York City3
W
21.02.26
NL: York City4
FC Halifax1
W
14.02.26
NL: Wealdstone0
York City3
W
11.02.26
NL: York City3
Hartlepool2
W
Woking
25.03.26
NL: Southend United1
Woking1
D
21.03.26
NL: Woking3
Aldershot Town2
W
17.03.26
NL: Woking1
Yeovil Town0
W
14.03.26
NL: Brackley Town1
Woking4
W
10.03.26
NL: Woking2
Boreham Wood2
D
07.03.26
NL: Woking3
Tamworth1
W
03.03.26
NL: Boston United2
Woking2
D
28.02.26
FAT: Marine1
Woking0
L
21.02.26
NL: Rochdale3
Woking0
L
17.02.26
NL: Sutton United2
Woking1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming National League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.27 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for York City vs Woking?
Our selection is 1 — York City to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is York City's current form?
York City have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Woking been performing recently?
Woking have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
York City lead with 7 wins versus Woking's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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