LOST Tip LOST St Johnstone 1-1 Queens Park
S

St Johnstone

Home
D W W W D
4W 5D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
1-1
Q
Queens Park
Away
L D W W L
4W 2D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 28th March 2026
1
Backing St Johnstone to win
St Johnstone 50%
Draw 30%
Queens Park 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -24.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — St Johnstone to win
1.26
Under 2.5 Goals70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
St Johnstone vs Queens Park Competition: Scottish Championship Date: Saturday, 28th March 2026 Pick: 1 (St Johnstone to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 55% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
St Johnstone
1
Draws
0
Queens Park
5
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip St Johnstone won 4 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
St Johnstone
Metric
Queens Park
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-5-1
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
40%
40%
2.3
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Q0
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5
S0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.5%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   Q=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
St Johnstone Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Queens Park Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
St Johnstone
Overall
5.5
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.3
Queens Park
Overall
4.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 11%
Away Win & Under 2.5 25%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.02.26
CHA: Queen’s Park1
St Johnstone1
15.11.25
CHA: St Johnstone4
Queen’s Park3
27.09.25
CHA: Queen’s Park1
St Johnstone2
25.09.12
CUP: St Johnstone4
Queen’s Park1
29.08.06
CUP: St Johnstone3
Queen’s Park0
Recent Form
St Johnstone
20.03.26
CHA: Partick Thistle0
St Johnstone0
D
14.03.26
CHA: St Johnstone1
Ross County0
W
07.03.26
CHA: Greenock Morton0
St Johnstone2
W
28.02.26
CHA: St Johnstone3
Ayr United1
W
24.02.26
CHA: Queen’s Park1
St Johnstone1
D
20.02.26
CHA: Raith Rovers0
St Johnstone0
D
17.02.26
CUP: St Johnstone3
Ayr United (3-4 pens)3
L
13.02.26
CHA: Airdrieonians0
St Johnstone1
W
30.01.26
CHA: St Johnstone2
Partick Thistle2
D
24.01.26
CHA: St Johnstone0
Dunfermline1
L
Queens Park
21.03.26
CHA: Arbroath1
Queen’s Park0
L
14.03.26
CHA: Queen’s Park1
Ayr United1
D
10.03.26
CHA: Ayr United1
Queen’s Park2
W
07.03.26
CHA: Queen’s Park1
Airdrieonians0
W
28.02.26
CHA: Dunfermline1
Queen’s Park0
L
24.02.26
CHA: Queen’s Park1
St Johnstone1
D
21.02.26
CHA: Queen’s Park3
Greenock Morton2
W
14.02.26
CHA: Ross County0
Queen’s Park1
W
08.02.26
CUP: Rangers8
Queen’s Park0
L
03.02.26
CHA: Queen’s Park0
Ross County1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 28th March 2026, St Johnstone host Queens Park in Scottish Championship. We recommend St Johnstone to win as the standout selection.

St Johnstone arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Queens Park are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 2D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour St Johnstone, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Queens Park's 0, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: st johnstone to win at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Scottish Championship fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.26 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for St Johnstone vs Queens Park?
Our selection is 1 — St Johnstone to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is St Johnstone's current form?
St Johnstone have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Queens Park been performing recently?
Queens Park have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
St Johnstone lead with 4 wins versus Queens Park's 0, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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