LOST Tip LOST Levadia 1-1 Kalju
L

Levadia

Home
W W W W W
10W 0D 0L → Steady
VS
1-1
3:00 pm
A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
K
Kalju
Away
L D L W W
4W 1D 5L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 20th June 2026
1
Backing Levadia to win
Levadia 50%
Draw 30%
Kalju 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -9.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Levadia to win
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Levadia vs Kalju Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Saturday, 20th June 2026 KO: 3:00 pm Pick: 1 (Levadia to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 65% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Levadia
3
Draws
2
Kalju
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Levadia won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Levadia
Metric
Kalju
3.3
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
10-0-0
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
100%
40%
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
L0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 4.0%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 7.7%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 3.9%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.7%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(8.5%) 1-0(7.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Levadia Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kalju Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Levadia
Overall
10.0
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.0
Kalju
Overall
4.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 38%
Home Win & BTTS No 31%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 48%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 2%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.04.26ML
Kalju1
Levadia1
21.09.25ML
Kalju2
Levadia1
21.06.25ML
Levadia3
Kalju1
24.05.25CUP
Kalju3
Levadia (Pen 4 - 1)3
04.05.25ML
Kalju2
Levadia0
30.03.25ML
Levadia2
Kalju1
22.02.25SC
Levadia3
Kalju2
27.10.24ML
Kalju0
Levadia4
25.08.24ML
Levadia3
Kalju0
12.05.24ML
Levadia0
Kalju0
Recent Form
Levadia
17.06.26ML
Nomme Utd1
Levadia2
W
13.06.26ML
Flora1
Levadia3
W
30.05.26ML
Tammeka0
Levadia1
W
24.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Levadia6
W
17.05.26ML
Paide1
Levadia3
W
09.05.26ML
Levadia3
Harju JK Laagri0
W
02.05.26ML
Kuressaare1
Levadia2
W
26.04.26ML
Levadia7
Narva0
W
22.04.26ML
Tammeka1
Levadia2
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
W
Kalju
17.06.26ML
Kalju1
Tammeka2
L
14.06.26ML
Kalju1
Paide1
D
30.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Kalju1
L
20.05.26ML
Kalju1
Harju JK Laagri0
W
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
W
10.05.26ML
Kalju0
Flora1
L
01.05.26ML
Narva0
Kalju3
W
26.04.26ML
Kalju1
Parnu JK Vaprus2
L
22.04.26ML
Kalju7
Nomme Utd1
W
19.04.26ML
Paide1
Kalju0
L
Levadia (Home)
09.05.26ML
Levadia3
Harju JK Laagri0
W
26.04.26ML
Levadia7
Narva0
W
19.04.26ML
Levadia4
Flora0
W
08.04.26ML
Levadia2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
04.04.26ML
Levadia1
Nomme Utd1
D
22.03.26ML
Levadia2
Paide2
D
08.03.26ML
Levadia2
Kuressaare0
W
08.02.26CF
Levadia4
Tammeka2
W
31.01.26CF
Levadia0
Narva0
D
24.01.26CF
Levadia3
Parnu JK Vaprus2
W
Kalju (Away)
30.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Kalju1
L
17.05.26ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
W
01.05.26ML
Narva0
Kalju3
W
19.04.26ML
Paide1
Kalju0
L
08.04.26ML
Harju JK Laagri0
Kalju2
W
15.03.26ML
Flora0
Kalju1
W
08.03.26ML
Tammeka0
Kalju1
W
28.02.26SC
Flora1
Kalju3
W
14.02.26CF
Paide2
Kalju1
L
07.02.26CF
Jelgava0
Kalju2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 20th June 2026, Levadia host Kalju at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Levadia to win as the standout selection.

Levadia arrive in strong form, having recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kalju are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Levadia, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Kalju's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: levadia to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting on football is about knowing football. And to an extent, that’s true — you need enough tactical understanding to interpret what the form numbers actually mean. But mostly, profitable betting is about process. It’s about having a method you apply consistently, without shortcuts, every single time. Our method for this Es match looks like this.

Step one is understanding both teams’ current position in the season. Not their reputation, not their league table standing — their actual form right now, based on recent match results. The home side’s seasonal form of W-W-W-W-W is on the board. But what we care about most is those last five at home Those games show us the current attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the general momentum or lack of it that this team will carry into the fixture.

Step two is doing the exact same analysis for the away side. They come into this with an overall away record of L-D-L-W-W. Their last five away games complete the current-form picture for the visitors. We look specifically at how they’ve been performing away from home lately, because travelling to a hostile venue and picking up points requires a different kind of discipline and tactical organisation than playing at home.

Step three is checking the head-to-head record.:

Head-to-Head Record:

12.04.26 (ML) Kalju 1 – 1 Levadia
21.09.25 (ML) Kalju 2 – 1 Levadia
21.06.25 (ML) Levadia 3 – 1 Kalju
24.05.25 (CUP) Kalju 3 – 3 Levadia (Pen 4 – 1)
04.05.25 (ML) Kalju 2 – 0 Levadia
30.03.25 (ML) Levadia 2 – 1 Kalju
22.02.25 (SC) Levadia 3 – 2 Kalju
27.10.24 (ML) Kalju 0 – 4 Levadia
25.08.24 (ML) Levadia 3 – 0 Kalju
12.05.24 (ML) Levadia 0 – 0 Kalju

tells us how these specific clubs have matched up previously — the types of results these fixtures tend to produce, and whether one side has historically held the upper hand in this encounter.

Step four is arriving at a recommendation. With A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) as the host ground and kickoff at 3:00 pm, everything points to 1 at @@1.34. The probability sits at 50,30,20%. That’s where we land. Take a look at the rest of the predictions we’ve put up today before you close out.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Levadia vs Kalju?
Our selection is 1 — Levadia to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Levadia's current form?
Levadia have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kalju been performing recently?
Kalju have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levadia lead with 5 wins versus Kalju's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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