LOST Tip LOST Lille 0-2 Auxerre
L

Lille

Home
W D W D W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
0-2
A
Auxerre
Away
W W L D D
3W 5D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 17th May 2026
1X
Backing Lille to win or draw
Implied Prob 90.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -0.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Lille
4
Draws
1
Auxerre
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lille
Metric
Auxerre
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.5
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.1
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
L0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 10.5%
0-2 5.5%
0-3 1.9%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 12.5%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 7.8%
2-1 8.2%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(13.2%) 1-0(12.5%) 0-0(10.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Lille
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
8.0
Auxerre
Overall
4.5
Scoring
5.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 24%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.12.25L1
Auxerre3
Lille4
20.04.25L1
Lille3
Auxerre1
10.01.25L1
Auxerre0
Lille0
22.04.23L1
Auxerre1
Lille1
07.08.22L1
Lille4
Auxerre1
18.12.21CDF
Lille3
Auxerre1
29.10.13COU
Lille0
Auxerre (aet)1
03.03.12L1
Lille2
Auxerre2
15.10.11L1
Auxerre1
Lille3
06.02.11L1
Auxerre1
Lille1
Recent Form
Lille
10.05.26L1
Monaco0
Lille1
W
03.05.26L1
Lille1
Le Havre1
D
26.04.26L1
Paris FC0
Lille1
W
18.04.26L1
Lille0
Nice0
D
12.04.26L1
Toulouse0
Lille4
W
04.04.26L1
Lille3
Lens0
W
22.03.26L1
Marseille1
Lille2
W
19.03.26EL
Aston Villa2
Lille0
L
15.03.26L1
Rennes1
Lille2
W
12.03.26EL
Lille0
Aston Villa1
L
Auxerre
10.05.26L1
Auxerre2
Nice1
W
03.05.26L1
Auxerre3
Angers1
W
25.04.26L1
Lyon3
Auxerre2
L
19.04.26L1
Monaco2
Auxerre2
D
11.04.26L1
Auxerre0
Nantes0
D
05.04.26L1
Le Havre1
Auxerre1
D
21.03.26L1
Auxerre3
Brest0
W
13.03.26L1
Marseille1
Auxerre0
L
07.03.26L1
Auxerre0
Strasbourg0
D
01.03.26L1
Lorient2
Auxerre2
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 17th May 2026, Lille host Auxerre in Ligue 1. We recommend Lille to win or draw as the standout selection.

Lille arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Auxerre are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 5D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Lille, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Auxerre's 1, with 4 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: lille to win or draw at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ligue 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1X, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.11 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lille vs Auxerre?
Our selection is 1X — Lille to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Lille's current form?
Lille have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Auxerre been performing recently?
Auxerre have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lille lead with 5 wins versus Auxerre's 1, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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