Moderate Signal 64% Confidence
L

Ludogorets

Home
W W W D W
7W 2D 1L → Steady
VS
5:00 pm
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
S
Slavia Sofia
Away
W D L D W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 22nd August 2026
1
Backing Ludogorets to win
Ludogorets 50%
Draw 30%
Slavia Sofia 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -11.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
8
Ludogorets
1
Draws
1
Slavia Sofia
10
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ludogorets won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ludogorets
Metric
Slavia Sofia
1.6
Goals For / Game
2.3
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1
50%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-1
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
70%
60%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
L0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 8.8%
0-2 7.0%
0-3 3.8%
0-4 1.5%
0-5 0.5%
L1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 9.2%
1-3 4.9%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.6%
L2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 7.4%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
L3
3-0 2.0%
3-1 3.2%
3-2 2.6%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
L4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(7.4%) 1-0(7.2%) 2-0(4.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ludogorets Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Slavia Sofia Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ludogorets
Overall
7.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.0
Slavia Sofia
Overall
6.6
Scoring
7.7
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 24%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.12.251L
Ludogorets1
Slavia Sofia1
09.08.251L
Slavia Sofia0
Ludogorets3
01.12.241L
Ludogorets2
Slavia Sofia0
18.09.241L
Slavia Sofia0
Ludogorets1
27.11.231L
Ludogorets2
Slavia Sofia3
02.11.231L
Slavia Sofia0
Ludogorets2
19.02.231L
Ludogorets2
Slavia Sofia1
26.11.221L
Slavia Sofia1
Ludogorets2
17.04.221L
Ludogorets4
Slavia Sofia1
26.02.221L
Ludogorets3
Slavia Sofia1
Recent Form
Ludogorets
15.08.261L
Ludogorets2
Botev Plovdiv0
W
09.08.261L
Cherno More2
Ludogorets3
W
02.08.261L
Ludogorets2
Botev Vratsa1
W
30.07.26UECL
Ludogorets2
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
D
27.07.261L
Dunav Ruse0
Ludogorets2
W
23.07.26UECL
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Ludogorets0
L
18.07.261L
Ludogorets1
Lok. Plovdiv0
W
10.07.26CF
Ludogorets1
Teuta0
W
10.07.26CF
Ludogorets1
Septemvri Sofia0
W
04.07.26CF
Ludogorets2
FC Botosani2
D
Slavia Sofia
10.08.261L
Botev Vratsa0
Slavia Sofia3
W
31.07.261L
Slavia Sofia1
Lok. Sofia1
D
24.07.261L
Arda1
Slavia Sofia0
L
20.07.261L
Slavia Sofia0
CSKA Sofia0
D
11.07.26CF
Slavia Sofia7
Montana2
W
08.07.26CF
Slavia Sofia3
CSM Slatina2
W
04.07.26CF
Septemvri Sofia2
Slavia Sofia3
W
01.07.26CF
Slavia Sofia4
FC Botosani0
W
22.05.261L
Slavia Sofia2
Montana0
W
18.05.261L
Lok. Sofia2
Slavia Sofia0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Bulgaria EFBET League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.32, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia?
Our selection is 1 — Ludogorets to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Ludogorets's current form?
Ludogorets have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Slavia Sofia been performing recently?
Slavia Sofia have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ludogorets lead with 8 wins versus Slavia Sofia's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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