Moderate Signal 63% Confidence
S

Slavia Prague

Home
D W W W W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
7:00 pm
Fortuna Arena (Prague)
B
Bohemians
Away
W D L W L
5W 1D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 22nd August 2026
1
Backing Slavia Prague to win
Slavia Prague 50%
Draw 30%
Bohemians 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 83.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Slavia Prague to win
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Slavia Prague vs Bohemians Competition: Czech Chance Liga Date: Saturday, 22nd August 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Slavia Prague to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
10
Slavia Prague
0
Draws
0
Bohemians
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Slavia Prague won 10 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Slavia Prague
Metric
Bohemians
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-3-2
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
50%
50%
3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
S0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 6.0%
0-2 3.5%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 9.4%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
S2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 1-0(9.4%) 2-0(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Slavia Prague Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Bohemians Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Slavia Prague
Overall
5.9
Scoring
7.0
Defence
7.0
Bohemians
Overall
5.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 21%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 19%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
-22.11.25 (1L) Slavia Prague3
Bohemians1
26.07.251L
Bohemians0
Slavia Prague2
02.03.251L
Slavia Prague2
Bohemians0
29.09.241L
Bohemians0
Slavia Prague4
06.04.241L
Slavia Prague2
Bohemians1
29.10.231L
Bohemians0
Slavia Prague2
07.05.231L
Slavia Prague6
Bohemians0
22.04.231L
Slavia Prague3
Bohemians0
05.04.23CUP
Slavia Prague3
Bohemians2
30.10.221L
Bohemians1
Slavia Prague4
Recent Form
Slavia Prague
16.08.261L
Liberec1
Slavia Prague1
D
09.08.261L
Slavia Prague2
FK Pardubice1
W
01.08.261L
Ostrava0
Slavia Prague4
W
26.07.261L
Slavia Prague5
Slovacko1
W
18.07.26CF
Slavia Prague2
Lyon0
W
12.07.26CF
Slavia Prague3
Ruzomberok0
W
11.07.26CF
Slavia Prague0
Slovan Bratislava1
L
05.07.26CF
Wieczysta Krakow2
Slavia Prague2
D
01.07.26CF
Slavia Prague1
Vlasim2
L
20.06.26CF
Dyn. Kyiv1
Slavia Prague1
D
Bohemians
08.08.261L
Zlin0
Bohemians2
W
02.08.261L
Bohemians0
Hradec Kralove0
D
25.07.261L
Teplice3
Bohemians1
L
17.07.26CF
Zaglebie0
Bohemians2
W
14.07.26CF
Wisla Plock2
Bohemians0
L
11.07.26CF
Lech Poznan4
Bohemians0
L
04.07.26CF
Taborsko2
Bohemians4
W
10.05.261L
Sigma Olomouc1
Bohemians2
W
02.05.261L
Bohemians1
Sigma Olomouc3
L
25.04.261L
Bohemians2
Sparta Prague0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Czech Chance Liga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Fortuna Arena (Prague). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.20, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Slavia Prague vs Bohemians?
Our selection is 1 — Slavia Prague to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Slavia Prague's current form?
Slavia Prague have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bohemians been performing recently?
Bohemians have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Slavia Prague lead with 10 wins versus Bohemians's 0, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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