WON Tip WON Lyon 0-2 Celta Vigo
L

Lyon

Home
D D D L L
4W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
0-2
C
Celta Vigo
Away
D D L W W
4W 4D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 19th March 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +5.5% Value detected
Kelly % 24.4% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Lyon
1
Draws
1
Celta Vigo
2
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 1.5 in 50% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Lyon
Metric
Celta Vigo
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-3-3
W — D — L
4-4-2
Win Rate
40%
40%
2.4
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
L0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 11.4%
0-2 6.9%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
L1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.2%
L2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 2.4%
3-1 2.9%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(13.2%) 0-1(11.4%) 1-0(11.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Lyon
Overall
4.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.3
Celta Vigo
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 21%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.03.26
EL: Celta Vigo1
Lyon1
29.07.23
CF: Celta Vigo1
Lyon0
Recent Form
Lyon
15.03.26
L1: Le Havre0
Lyon0
D
12.03.26
EL: Celta Vigo1
Lyon1
D
08.03.26
L1: Lyon1
Paris FC1
D
05.03.26
CDF: Lyon2
Lens3
L
01.03.26
L1: Marseille3
Lyon2
L
22.02.26
L1: Strasbourg3
Lyon1
L
15.02.26
L1: Lyon2
Nice0
W
07.02.26
L1: Nantes0
Lyon1
W
04.02.26
CDF: Lyon2
Laval0
W
01.02.26
L1: Lyon1
Lille0
W
Celta Vigo
15.03.26
LL: Betis1
Celta Vigo1
D
12.03.26
EL: Celta Vigo1
Lyon1
D
06.03.26
LL: Celta Vigo1
Real Madrid2
L
01.03.26
LL: Girona1
Celta Vigo2
W
26.02.26
EL: Celta Vigo1
PAOK0
W
22.02.26
LL: Celta Vigo2
Mallorca0
W
19.02.26
EL: PAOK1
Celta Vigo2
W
14.02.26
LL: Espanyol2
Celta Vigo2
D
06.02.26
LL: Celta Vigo1
Osasuna2
L
01.02.26
LL: Getafe0
Celta Vigo0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming UEFA Europa League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first. Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline. The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either. Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious. Our highlighted choice is Over 1.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current 1.29 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint. Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Lyon vs Celta Vigo?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 83%.
What is Lyon's current form?
Lyon have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Celta Vigo been performing recently?
Celta Vigo have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lyon lead with 0 wins versus Celta Vigo's 1, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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