WON Tip WON Mainz 2-0 Sigma Olomouc
M

Mainz

Home
W D D D D
4W 4D 2L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
S
Sigma Olomouc
Away
D D W W W
5W 3D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 19th March 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Mainz 50%
Draw 30%
Sigma Olomouc 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -31.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Mainz vs Sigma Olomouc Competition: UEFA Conference League Date: Thursday, 19th March 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 51% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Mainz
1
Draws
0
Sigma Olomouc
1
Meetings
0
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Over 1.5 in 0% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Mainz
Metric
Sigma Olomouc
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-4-2
W — D — L
5-3-2
Win Rate
40%
50%
2.5
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
M0
0-0 8.6%
0-1 10.8%
0-2 6.7%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.2%
M1
1-0 10.4%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
M2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 4.9%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 3.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
M4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(12.9%) 0-1(10.8%) 1-0(10.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Mainz Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Sigma Olomouc Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Mainz
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
6.0
Sigma Olomouc
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 16%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.03.26
UECL: Sigma Olomouc0
Mainz0
Recent Form
Mainz
15.03.26
BUN: Werder Bremen0
Mainz2
W
12.03.26
UECL: Sigma Olomouc0
Mainz0
D
07.03.26
BUN: Mainz2
Stuttgart2
D
28.02.26
BUN: Bayer Leverkusen1
Mainz1
D
20.02.26
BUN: Mainz1
Hamburger SV1
D
13.02.26
BUN: Dortmund4
Mainz0
L
07.02.26
BUN: Mainz2
Augsburg0
W
31.01.26
BUN: RB Leipzig1
Mainz2
W
24.01.26
BUN: Mainz3
Wolfsburg1
W
17.01.26
BUN: FC Köln2
Mainz1
L
Sigma Olomouc
15.03.26
1L: Sigma Olomouc2
Karvina2
D
12.03.26
UECL: Sigma Olomouc0
Mainz0
D
07.03.26
1L: Jablonec1
Sigma Olomouc2
W
01.03.26
1L: Sigma Olomouc1
Bohemians0
W
26.02.26
UECL: Lausanne1
Sigma Olomouc2
W
22.02.26
1L: Teplice1
Sigma Olomouc3
W
19.02.26
UECL: Sigma Olomouc1
Lausanne1
D
14.02.26
1L: Sigma Olomouc1
Plzen2
L
07.02.26
1L: Ostrava2
Sigma Olomouc0
L
31.01.26
1L: Sigma Olomouc1
Hradec Kralove0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming UEFA Conference League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first. Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline. The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either. Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious. Our highlighted choice is Over 1.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current 1.21 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint. Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Mainz vs Sigma Olomouc?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sigma Olomouc been performing recently?
Sigma Olomouc have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Mainz lead with 0 wins versus Sigma Olomouc's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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