WON Tip WON Neftchi Fargona 4-0 Kokand 1912
N

Neftchi Fargona

Home
W W W L W
9W 0D 1L → Steady
VS
4-0
K
Kokand 1912
Away
L D D D D
2W 5D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 29th April 2026
1
Backing Neftchi Fargona to win
Neftchi Fargona 50%
Draw 30%
Kokand 1912 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -25% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Neftchi Fargona to win
1.22
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912 Competition: Uzbekistan Super League Date: Wednesday, 29th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Neftchi Fargona to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 57% Also: Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet (70%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Neftchi Fargona
3
Draws
4
Kokand 1912
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Neftchi Fargona won 3 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Neftchi Fargona
Metric
Kokand 1912
2.2
Goals For / Game
1
0.3
Goals Against / Game
1.1
70%
Clean Sheets
30%
9-0-1
W — D — L
2-5-3
Win Rate
90%
20%
2.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
N0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 3.5%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
N2
2-0 13.7%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 2.9%
2-3 0.6%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
N3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 4.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.5%) 2-0(13.7%) 2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Neftchi Fargona Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kokand 1912 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Neftchi Fargona
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.3
Defence
9.0
Kokand 1912
Overall
3.5
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.08.25SL
Kokand 19121
Neftchi Fargona2
14.03.25SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Kokand 19120
02.08.22SL
Kokand 19123
Neftchi Fargona3
02.03.22SL
Neftchi Fargona1
Kokand 19120
29.11.18SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Kokand 19122
24.10.18SL
Kokand 19122
Neftchi Fargona0
17.08.18SL
Neftchi Fargona1
Kokand 19120
30.05.18CUP
Kokand 19122
Neftchi Fargona (1 - 1)1
10.05.18SL
Kokand 19121
Neftchi Fargona1
26.08.17SL
Kokand 19123
Neftchi Fargona1
Recent Form
Neftchi Fargona
24.04.26SL
Xorazm Urganch0
Neftchi Fargona2
W
18.04.26SL
Neftchi Fargona2
Nasaf Qarshi1
W
14.04.26SL
Bunyodkor0
Neftchi Fargona1
W
09.04.26SL
Neftchi Fargona0
Pakhtakor1
L
04.04.26SL
Qizilqum0
Neftchi Fargona4
W
20.03.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Lok. Tashkent1
W
15.03.26SUC
Neftchi Fargona1
Pakhtakor0
W
10.03.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Andijan0
W
05.03.26SL
Termez Surkhon0
Neftchi Fargona3
W
28.02.26SL
Neftchi Fargona3
Mashal Muborak0
W
Kokand 1912
24.04.26SL
Qizilqum2
Kokand 19121
L
19.04.26SL
Kokand 19120
Andijan0
D
14.04.26SL
Xorazm Urganch2
Kokand 19122
D
08.04.26SL
Kokand 19121
Nasaf Qarshi1
D
02.04.26SL
Sogdiana2
Kokand 19122
D
18.03.26SL
Kokand 19122
Navbahor Namangan1
W
11.03.26SL
Lok. Tashkent0
Kokand 19120
D
04.03.26SL
Kokand 19121
Pakhtakor2
L
27.02.26SL
Buxoro1
Kokand 19120
L
06.02.26CF
Kokand 19121
Meshakhte Tkibuli0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Uzbekistan Super League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.22 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Neftchi Fargona vs Kokand 1912?
Our selection is 1 — Neftchi Fargona to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Neftchi Fargona's current form?
Neftchi Fargona have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kokand 1912 been performing recently?
Kokand 1912 have recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Neftchi Fargona lead with 3 wins versus Kokand 1912's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.