LOST Tip LOST Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Samunspor
R

Rayo Vallecano

Home
D W D W D
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
0-1
S
Samunspor
Away
W L L W D
4W 2D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 19th March 2026
1X
Backing Rayo Vallecano to win or draw
Implied Prob 86.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +13.8% Value detected
Kelly % 100% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Rayo Vallecano to win or draw
1.16
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Rayo Vallecano vs Samunspor Competition: UEFA Conference League Date: Thursday, 19th March 2026 Pick: 1X (Rayo Vallecano to win or draw) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 100% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Rayo Vallecano
0
Draws
0
Samunspor
1
Meetings
4
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Rayo Vallecano
Metric
Samunspor
1.5
Goals For / Game
0
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
3-4-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
30%
40%
1.4
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
R0
0-0 24.7%
0-1 16.0%
0-2 5.2%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
R1
1-0 18.5%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 3.9%
1-3 0.9%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
R2
2-0 6.9%
2-1 4.5%
2-2 1.5%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
R3
3-0 1.7%
3-1 1.1%
3-2 0.4%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
R4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(24.7%) 1-0(18.5%) 1-1(12.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip R=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Rayo Vallecano
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
Samunspor
Overall
4.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 11%
Draw & BTTS No 20%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 12%
Away Win & Under 2.5 28%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.03.26
UECL: Samsunspor1
Rayo Vallecano3
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano
16.03.26
LL: Rayo Vallecano1
Levante1
D
12.03.26
UECL: Samsunspor1
Rayo Vallecano3
W
08.03.26
LL: Sevilla1
Rayo Vallecano1
D
04.03.26
LL: Rayo Vallecano3
Oviedo0
W
28.02.26
LL: Rayo Vallecano1
Ath Bilbao1
D
21.02.26
LL: Betis1
Rayo Vallecano1
D
15.02.26
LL: Rayo Vallecano3
Atl. Madrid0
W
01.02.26
LL: Real Madrid2
Rayo Vallecano1
L
24.01.26
LL: Rayo Vallecano1
Osasuna3
L
18.01.26
LL: Celta Vigo3
Rayo Vallecano0
L
Samunspor
15.03.26
SL: Samsunspor2
Kayserispor1
W
12.03.26
UECL: Samsunspor1
Rayo Vallecano3
L
08.03.26
SL: Fenerbahce3
Samsunspor2
L
05.03.26
CUP: Antalyaspor0
Samsunspor2
W
01.03.26
SL: Samsunspor0
Gaziantep0
D
26.02.26
UECL: Samsunspor4
Shkendija0
W
22.02.26
SL: Karagumruk0
Samsunspor0
D
19.02.26
UECL: Shkendija0
Samsunspor1
W
13.02.26
SL: Antalyaspor3
Samsunspor1
L
07.02.26
SL: Samsunspor0
Trabzonspor3
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming UEFA Conference League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first. Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline. The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either. Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious. Our highlighted choice is 1X, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current 1.16 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint. Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Rayo Vallecano vs Samunspor?
Our selection is 1X — Rayo Vallecano to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 100%.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Samunspor been performing recently?
Samunspor have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Rayo Vallecano lead with 1 wins versus Samunspor's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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