WON Tip WON Resende 1-0 CEAC/Araruama
R

Resende

Home
D W W D D
3W 4D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
C
CEAC/Araruama
Away
L L W L L
1W 2D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 6th June 2026
1
Backing Resende to win
Resende 50%
Draw 30%
CEAC/Araruama 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 71.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -31.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
1
Resende
1
Draws
1
CEAC/Araruama
3
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Resende won 1 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Resende
Metric
CEAC/Araruama
1.5
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
11%
3-4-3
W — D — L
1-2-6
Win Rate
30%
11%
2.6
Avg Goals
79%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
R0
0-0 7.1%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 11.0%
1-1 12.1%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 2.4%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
R2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
R3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 4.8%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
R4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 1.9%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.0%) 2-1(9.3%) 2-0(8.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip R=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Resende Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
CEAC/Araruama Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Resende
Overall
4.2
Scoring
5.0
Defence
5.7
CEAC/Araruama
Overall
1.8
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.8
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 17%
Draw & BTTS Yes 26%
Draw & BTTS No 18%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 26%
Draw & Under 2.5 18%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.05.25CAR2
CEAC/Araruama0
Resende2
22.06.24CAR2
CEAC/Araruama1
Resende1
24.05.23CAR2
Resende1
CEAC/Araruama2
Recent Form
Resende
30.05.26CAR2
Olaria1
Resende1
D
27.05.26CAR2
Resende3
America RJ0
W
16.05.26CAR2
Sao Goncalo1
Resende2
W
09.05.26CAR2
Resende2
Cabofriense2
D
02.05.26CAR2
Perolas Negras1
Resende1
D
29.04.26CAR2
Resende4
Marica0
W
14.08.25CR
Portuguesa RJ0
Resende0
D
30.07.25CR
Resende2
Portuguesa RJ3
L
12.07.25CAR2
Olaria3
Resende0
L
05.07.25CAR2
Resende0
Bangu2
L
CEAC/Araruama
03.06.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama0
Marica1
L
23.05.26CAR2
Perolas Negras3
CEAC/Araruama1
L
16.05.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama2
Americano1
W
09.05.26CAR2
Audax RJ3
CEAC/Araruama2
L
02.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso2
CEAC/Araruama1
L
29.04.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama1
Serrano FC2
L
06.09.25CR
America RJ1
CEAC/Araruama0
L
03.09.25CR
CEAC/Araruama0
America RJ0
D
23.08.25CR
CEAC/Araruama1
Nova Iguacu1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 6th June 2026, Resende host CEAC/Araruama in Brazil Carioca 2. We recommend Resende to win as the standout selection.

Resende arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

CEAC/Araruama are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 6L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Resende, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to CEAC/Araruama's 1, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: resende to win at odds of 1.39 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Brazil Carioca 2 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.39 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Resende vs CEAC/Araruama?
Our selection is 1 — Resende to win, priced at approximately 1.39. Tip confidence rating: 40%.
What is Resende's current form?
Resende have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has CEAC/Araruama been performing recently?
CEAC/Araruama have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Resende lead with 1 wins versus CEAC/Araruama's 1, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
⚠️
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